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The last few years have been great to me, as i was able to clobber the S&P500 many times in returns. But of course, you can't make a living trading the markets if you don't make great great returns. I'll try to give my readers trades that i think will make them money. However, you need to have money management skills, in order not to lose everything on a greedy or stupid trade. I may or may not already be in the trades i recommend. I may or may not trade the stocks i recommend. Due diligence is required on your part and the usual disclaimer that i am not responsible for your losses always apply. I have no affiliations with any broker/dealer and all posts are for educational purposes only. Remember to 'refresh' the home page and the "Comments" pages frequently in order to receive updated posts. Let's rock!

Sunday, August 12, 2007

We are not falling over a cliff just yet.

Conditions are oversold in the extremes in the short term. We either rebound now or we crash. Since this is not September or October, a bounce is expected. The Sunday night futures are up significantly.

The technicals of SPY, DIA, and QQQQ are all showing a Monday bounce. We are very oversold in the very short term, though not the intermediate term we are not.

The bears will occasionally throw a monkey wrench at us because they really want the markets to crash. But the liquidity pump by the Fed last Friday should counter some of the negativity. The fed also pumped us up in February and the rest was history. The next 2 months will be the permabears' Last Stand. They will throw at the bulls all their weapons of financial destruction to try to bring the market to its knees.

There's only a 2 month window left to be a bear. That's it, and then we get the year end rally.

17 Comments:

Blogger beanie11111 said...

AKAM is ready to move higher. Too oversold.

Sun Aug 12, 08:19:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Again, i had to turn comment moderation back on. Y'all know why. So be patient.

It doesn't seem like blogger.com allows user blocking. Why the Almighty Google still hasn't fix that is beyond me. Such an adolescent mistake.

Sun Aug 12, 08:22:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

You do not think a recession by year end?

Sun Aug 12, 08:50:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

You do not think a recession by year end?

Sun Aug 12, 08:52:00 PM EDT  
Blogger sgv said...

Beanie,
This volatility in the market, is the main reason why I was worried about my aapl holdings, most of my gains wiped out last Friday. But I think this temporary price breaks is a golden opportunity to accumulate. What do you think? Should I keep buying on every dips? I plan to hold it a little bit longer this time maybe for a couple of years. Well, maybe...LOL

Sun Aug 12, 11:37:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

anon,

i doubt it

Sun Aug 12, 11:38:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

sgv,

i would wait on AAPL. Let Aug and sept go by.

A break of 120 could really send this stock to 100.

Buy more only as a short term trade.

Mon Aug 13, 12:23:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

beanie,

what do you think of RIMM Sept 230 calls? You think it's safe to hold?

Thanks

aymon

Mon Aug 13, 12:34:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

What do you think solar stocks now? Recently solars were very volatile, do you think they are going up tomorrow if market bounces?

Mon Aug 13, 12:48:00 AM EDT  
Blogger StocksWalayBaba said...

beanie,

Is EMC strong buy/Buy or Hold?

Mon Aug 13, 08:03:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

aymon,

RIMM calls are not that safe to hold, in light of everything that has happened since i called it. I am iffy on whether we have ultimately bottomed last week or we get some more downside to go (hopefully with 12,700 on the Dow being the lowest).

But let's see what happens this week.

Mon Aug 13, 08:17:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

stocky,

i like EMC at these levels. VMWare ipos tomorrow. Should boost the stock.

Mon Aug 13, 08:17:00 AM EDT  
Blogger TV107 said...

i like the market opening down and rallying

dont know what to expect this morning

pissed cause i got scared and sold all my longs Friday after hours

Mon Aug 13, 09:10:00 AM EDT  
Blogger TV107 said...

made a killing shorting IOC premarket


what a crazy stock the past month or so

Mon Aug 13, 10:00:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

I'm losing my ass with LEND! I hope nobody else is trying to catching a falling knife here.

Mon Aug 13, 12:14:00 PM EDT  
Blogger steve said...

Once again, impersonator. Pretty sad. I haven't sold my LEND yet and I'm certainly not losing "my ass". Only down a few cents on my position.

Beanie, you really need to do something about this.

Mon Aug 13, 12:24:00 PM EDT  
Blogger TV107 said...

i lucked out with TMA!

lol

Tue Aug 14, 04:44:00 PM EDT  

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