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The last few years have been great to me, as i was able to clobber the S&P500 many times in returns. But of course, you can't make a living trading the markets if you don't make great great returns. I'll try to give my readers trades that i think will make them money. However, you need to have money management skills, in order not to lose everything on a greedy or stupid trade. I may or may not already be in the trades i recommend. I may or may not trade the stocks i recommend. Due diligence is required on your part and the usual disclaimer that i am not responsible for your losses always apply. I have no affiliations with any broker/dealer and all posts are for educational purposes only. Remember to 'refresh' the home page and the "Comments" pages frequently in order to receive updated posts. Let's rock!

Thursday, July 26, 2007

Both AAPL & BIDU on afterburner!

Simply amazing, particularly AAPL - being the big stock that it is.

I have no doubt that AAPL will see $200. Absolutely no doubt. Just not tomorrow.

BIDU has jetfuel ready to launch to the stratosphere! I tagged this one with a target of $1,000 and i believe it will get there. Will BIDU do an ISRG tomorrow, with a 50-60 point gain? If you're not in already, you're late to the party. So you should only buy the dip or decide whether it will get a second day run by watching the close (as well as the general market). It needs to stay above 216 to move higher.

75 Comments:

Blogger beanie11111 said...

By the way, solar stocks are in correction mode right now. It's not the time to buy. As long as the alternative energy sector hasn't really take off in a big way, these stocks will move up big and then correct big (but they should generally trend higher).

Thu Jul 26, 01:29:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Lucky I sold the AAPL put before the earnings.
Thanks to someone who commented, "I will not short AAPL"

Thu Jul 26, 01:37:00 AM EDT  
Blogger vonpinscher said...

beanie so i have bidu calls to expire 8/7 how shall i handle this?? do i sell and rebuy or do i exercise options?? this is my first time for the options

Thu Jul 26, 01:40:00 AM EDT  
Blogger vonpinscher said...

i know i should wait until tomorrow and i should know what to do --

Thu Jul 26, 01:45:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

richard,

8/7? You mean 8/17.

Just sell 1/2 the calls in the morning and hold the rest.

BIDU's earnings were spectacular and the float is still low.

Thu Jul 26, 01:49:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

beanie..

thoughts on CSUN....jumped in @ 12.50 and holding

Thu Jul 26, 01:50:00 AM EDT  
Blogger vonpinscher said...

thanks beanie this is really exciting to me!!!!

Thu Jul 26, 02:07:00 AM EDT  
Blogger dmyegorov said...

>Thanks to someone who commented, "I will not short AAPL"

It seems that guy was me :) I am happy that it helped :)

Thu Jul 26, 02:16:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

great calls on AAPL and BIDU!

Anyone up for CROX?

thanks!

aymon

Thu Jul 26, 03:00:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,
What do you think about buying aaple on the dip just like bidu. Not worth it?

Thanks

Thu Jul 26, 07:23:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

anon,

i think you should stay away from AAPL for the time being.

Thu Jul 26, 08:09:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

FUTURES DOWN 100

Thu Jul 26, 08:11:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

does anyone know exactly what is causing this futures carnage?

Thu Jul 26, 08:19:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Credit Crunch - the news on the Boots and Chrysler inability to finance their deals.

See Bill Gross's August article:

www.pimco.com

and read Roubini's articles at

www.rgemonitor.com
(no membership needed for many articles)

They were both waiting to see outcome of these two deals to test severity of credit crunch and it came yesterday.

Just my opinion.

Thu Jul 26, 08:53:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Come to me DOW 12900

Thu Jul 26, 08:57:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

...more comment on credit crunch...

see

www.billcara.com

IMHO,
put stops on all positions and be very careful today...it could get nasty.

Daily beanie11111 reader.

Thu Jul 26, 09:13:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Who knew Bill Gross was a closet commie?

Seriously, he makes some decent points about junk credit not getting paid for its risk, but that's a liquidity issue, a global capital issue, not a "the rich aren't getting taxed enough" issue. What a sanctimonious jerk.

When he's the first (along with that other hypocrite, Buffet) to send an extra check to the gummint, I'll take his bs seriously. Until then, he's as good a mouth piece for the powers that move this market as you'll find.

Yeah, he's looking out for you, little guy.

Thu Jul 26, 10:36:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

HUH?

Thu Jul 26, 10:42:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Did you read the first half of the piece, or only the second part (which admittedly, was worthy)?

Thu Jul 26, 10:45:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Geez, you read the "about" on Bill Cara?

Distribution of wealth?

Yet, like most hypocritical libs, he's moved from high tax Canuckistan to the Bahamas.

Amazing. (not)

Thu Jul 26, 10:49:00 AM EDT  
Blogger dmyegorov said...

YGE: it was a nice call, Beanie :)

Thu Jul 26, 10:53:00 AM EDT  
Blogger jet said...

Beanie have any thoughts on akam? Over-reaction on not beating earnings. I think good buy at mid 30s?

Thu Jul 26, 11:03:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Solars holding up.

Interesting....

"Leaders lead."

Thu Jul 26, 11:32:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Come on Dow, you dont have to come to 12900 today
HEHEHEHEH

Thu Jul 26, 11:32:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

start buying stocks!!!

Thu Jul 26, 11:36:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Arun said...

which stocks, beanie?

Thu Jul 26, 11:40:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Hmm..Start buying? May be...but to lower your risk, shouldnt you wait till the end of day?

Thu Jul 26, 11:41:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Why not wait and see what futures look like tomorrow a.m. The credit crunch thing-y is not an overnight deal.

Thu Jul 26, 11:47:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

or maybe we should wait...

Thu Jul 26, 11:50:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

arun,

CELG is a must own.

Thu Jul 26, 11:57:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

buy list right now:

CELG
EMC
INTC
NYX

Thu Jul 26, 11:58:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

SNDK is a buy too

Thu Jul 26, 11:59:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Mihir said...

What is happening with MER? I am bleeding on it. Should I hold it? Will it come back to higher 80's in future (6mo-1yr)? Thanks.

Thu Jul 26, 12:00:00 PM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Gose--

I've got pretty decent support (DIA) at 13450, and even better at about 13200-30.

I can't for the life of me figure out where you are getting 12900 though?

Thu Jul 26, 12:00:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

the permabears are a bunch of jokers.

Thu Jul 26, 12:02:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jake Go away again. Keep your word and leave this blog please, things had been a lot better with you gone. Why can't you find another place to hang out?

Thu Jul 26, 12:21:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

worst week I've ever had! now wish i had listened to 'West'. haven't seen action like these past 5 sessions since summer of '02. I was in cash that time, don't expect this when indices at multi-year and/or all-time highs. I got caught and getting creamed.

have a good day all, not going to post anymore today.

Thu Jul 26, 12:29:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

COP at down to $81.86. Is it good time to buy?

Thu Jul 26, 12:33:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

wow..breathtaking

Thu Jul 26, 12:45:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Whos your daddy...

beanie11111 said...

start buying stocks!!!
Thu Jul 26, 11:36:00 AM EDT

gosu said...

Hmm..Start buying? May be...but to lower your risk, shouldnt you wait till the end of day?
Thu Jul 26, 11:41:00 AM EDT

Thu Jul 26, 12:48:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

beanie,

what does your trend strategy say about playing CROX's earnings tonight?

Thanks

aymon

Thu Jul 26, 12:54:00 PM EDT  
Blogger joerawr said...

lvlt ripping me a new one today...

Thu Jul 26, 01:03:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Bill, do not be mad at me - I hate being a short.

Right now we have a Grand Super Cycle Top. The dates are January 2008 and July. The 1929 crash and 1966 tops were the last two of these.

Also we have a Kitchin Cycle finish - 4 year cycle.

On top of this I see a Three Peaks and a Domed House Pattern playing out.

We should see 13475 bottom, rally back to 13670 area then a major fall in August down to 12,000 - another rally and by year end 10K or lower.

Then a new 4 year cycle is born.

I trade full time for a living, I have studied technical markets for over 15 years and have read every book there is too read.

If you never want me around again I understand, but understand I am just trying to help is all....markets have cycles - like nature.

The folks on this site are the best, sorry if I pissed you off, not my intention at all, I only want to be helpful. I am a cycle expert. I have studied market cycles for that entire 15 years. They are real.

West

Thu Jul 26, 01:09:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

b serious. 10k by end of year? good one....

Thu Jul 26, 01:15:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

TIME TO BUY STOCKS!!!

Thu Jul 26, 01:16:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

aymon,

i can't game CROX. No mention from both shows and CROX is not exactly a wildly popular stock. Or maybe it is. If you think it is a wildly popular stock, go long. That's what my thesis would say.

I own none.

Thu Jul 26, 01:18:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

When all else goes to hell, you know the drug pushers still wins.

Buy CELG.

Thu Jul 26, 01:19:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

ok i am wrong. It is NOT time just yet to buy stocks.

lol

Thu Jul 26, 01:32:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

This is just pure unadulterated panic. There's no reason for this. A correction is due yes, but this is FEAR.

Thu Jul 26, 01:33:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

When the crowd is panicking there is nothing you can do but to hold the door for them as they rush out.

Thu Jul 26, 01:35:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

AKAM:

no reason for this to get slammed like this. I think it's worth nibbling in some.

Thu Jul 26, 01:36:00 PM EDT  
Blogger TraderB said...

DOW 10k?? Do you know how ridiculously bad earnings would have to be for that to happen? What is your catalyst for such an event other than mumbo jumbo talk about "cycles"?

Thu Jul 26, 01:40:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

DOW 12900 is when you start buying.
Not all at once, but slowly and steadily.

Thu Jul 26, 01:43:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

This is just unbelievable:
Russell 2000 is now negative for the year
Phew!! Who would have thought that!!

Thu Jul 26, 01:46:00 PM EDT  
Blogger bruce said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

Thu Jul 26, 01:46:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

How about APA? Should I give it up here, rather than hoping for reversal soon? (I'm long the stock.)

thx

Thu Jul 26, 01:46:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I would wait to jump in as the S&P 500 is in danger of breaking down the intermediate support at 1,480.

Once the support is taken out decidedly, another big leg down will likely follow suit.

Now, SPX 1,480 is being violated. Let's see how it closes.

Thu Jul 26, 02:01:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

i think after hours goes up huge
zee

Thu Jul 26, 02:20:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

GDP 3.5% report Friday, rescinds all other news, dow up 200 tomorrow...

Thu Jul 26, 02:24:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

XBD hit my target 227....that’s the bottom, folks

Thu Jul 26, 02:26:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

BUY BUY BUY BUY!!!!!!!!

Thu Jul 26, 02:27:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Man look at ICE holding at 0.61 fib 141.8 just as I predicted

Thu Jul 26, 02:31:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I bought the aug 40 puts on NVDA. Will hold thru earnings august 9th.

You might want to see a bounce before buying those puts.

GOod luck.

Thu Jul 26, 02:33:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

SPY in the 146s and youre not buying? Are you nuts? This IS the correction I”VE been talking about....IT”S over... BUY BUY BUY

Thu Jul 26, 02:33:00 PM EDT  
Blogger joerawr said...

So, strategy question here for y'all.

I have some cash to buy at the end of today, but am looking at my current holdings looking to see what i can trim to get more cash.

I'm looking at my MO. I have some that i was hoping to sell at 70... its been hanging around 68-7 in the last few weeks. Feels like dead money. Today it down, but only 2%. Even if it pops up tomorrow, it's not going to be by that much. Where-as GS, NYX, GLW, APA, SHLD, and LVLT all been given the smack down, and if there is a reversal tomorrow, should have legs.

Or is that foolish? Taking money out of a stable stock, and plugging it into more volitale area means i'll get burned bigger if we continue the downward spiral?

Thu Jul 26, 02:36:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

WHAT A DAY !!!!!!:(((((

Thu Jul 26, 02:39:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This looks like a trader's market with a clear trend - down....so short term trade or use the ETF's that short the market.

Thu Jul 26, 02:40:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Buying TSO, SUN,BNI,NUE,SHLD,NYX=RETEST 72.5,

Thu Jul 26, 02:40:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Interactive Brokers sending information about "Circuit Breakers".
This is the FIRST TIME I HAVE SEEN IN 10 YEARS IN TRADING

Thu Jul 26, 02:42:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

New official recommendation!
www.beanie11111.blogspot.com

Thu Jul 26, 02:47:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

BUYING GS,BSC,CTX,NMX,MGM,AZO,BTU,ATI,X,ETR,IYR,XHB,XLF,

Thu Jul 26, 02:49:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Beautiful list zee.
I would just wait till EOD to see any opportunities.

Thu Jul 26, 02:54:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Alright all my calls up 8% ...bought at the bottom, that’s why

Thu Jul 26, 02:56:00 PM EDT  
Blogger AT said...

zee is the man!

Thu Jul 26, 03:17:00 PM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

West,

You should not feel bad about posting here on this day or any day. Your imparting important analysis, and, right or wrong it can at least be synthesized.

Which is more than I can say for the "anonymous" chicken scheiss tomfoolery that dominates.

BTW -- all Bill said was that he'd wished he'd listened to you. Quite a compliment I'd say.

Best to you.

Thu Jul 26, 04:13:00 PM EDT  

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