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The last few years have been great to me, as i was able to clobber the S&P500 many times in returns. But of course, you can't make a living trading the markets if you don't make great great returns. I'll try to give my readers trades that i think will make them money. However, you need to have money management skills, in order not to lose everything on a greedy or stupid trade. I may or may not already be in the trades i recommend. I may or may not trade the stocks i recommend. Due diligence is required on your part and the usual disclaimer that i am not responsible for your losses always apply. I have no affiliations with any broker/dealer and all posts are for educational purposes only. Remember to 'refresh' the home page and the "Comments" pages frequently in order to receive updated posts. Let's rock!

Thursday, May 24, 2007

Time to think about shorting stocks.

Wait for a rise tomorrow or friday and then short these:

RIMM
AMZN
MA
QQQQ
ICE

(and many others)

Alot of stocks are simply overbought in the short term and momentum to the upside is now waning as you can tell by strong opens and weak closes the last several days.

If no rise, short 'em anyways.

101 Comments:

Blogger zstock7.com said...

NTAP IS coming in hot..pre-market ..folks...at $30.50..its a buy now situation...NTAP might finish the day at $34.50....
Network Appliance gives weak outlook despite profit rise

downside, none to zero, because, Network appliance bounces $4 from deadcat position...
zoo-yah

Thu May 24, 02:34:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

FITB call options going thru the roof.

C'mon Cramer, are you for real? A buyout? Every stock seems to be a buyout to him. lol

Thu May 24, 03:09:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

beanie11111 said...

Short AMZN? Are ya outta your minds?

Going to 100.
Wed May 23, 01:05:00 PM EDT
--------------------------------

lol...come on

Thu May 24, 03:26:00 AM EDT  
Blogger steve said...

Beanie, I'm really confused. Why the sudden flip-flop on AMZN???

beanie11111 said...

Short AMZN? Are ya outta your minds?

Going to 100.
Wed May 23, 01:05:00 PM EDT

Thu May 24, 08:28:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

Beanie1111 means that he wants you to short AMZN for the short term. He thinks the chart is over extended and for that reason, should come down short term. If I am incorrect beanie1111 then please correct me

Thu May 24, 08:55:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Johnny3185 said...

Great call on NTAP, Z !!

Thu May 24, 09:43:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good call on NTAP! They (whoever "they" are) just don't want this market to go down yet...

Thu May 24, 09:55:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

I strongly think AMZN is a good candidate to short. There is not a good reason for it to go up more than 50% in one month IMO.
A.

Thu May 24, 10:16:00 AM EDT  
Blogger jet said...

When is it a good time to short rimm, everyone?

Thu May 24, 10:19:00 AM EDT  
Blogger edvise said...

Z

Thu May 24, 10:51:00 AM EDT  
Blogger sr said...

Hi Beanie,

NYX looking extremely bad right now.
Any quick opinions

Thu May 24, 11:01:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

The question still is:
Dow at 13500. What do we see first?
14000 or 12900.

I think we get closer to 13000 before we touch 14000. What do you guys think?

Thu May 24, 11:25:00 AM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

I can’t beleive AZOdidn’t kill me....play the JUNE 125 call...3.60/3.80 sell at least $5.00, downside, might see 122 /124 entry..longer term sell price, new yearly hi...NEM call still working... and my all time favorite stock to trade NTAP...hold and gather.if....retests under 31 (doubtful) buy more...and GLDN, russian telecom ...triple tower, means triple tested bottom, very bullish...

Thu May 24, 12:39:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

KALU down 19% from (89.24, recent hi) is 72.0=80/20...im in..last major pullback was 17%, downside, KALU decides to test rsi 30, which = $71ish aluminum sector
zee-bop-she-bop

Thu May 24, 12:52:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Johnny3185 said...

Yes, KALU has support at $72 from both 100dma and fib line.

Thu May 24, 01:17:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Bus said...

Beanie, good call on ICE. What is the good entry point for long hold on ICE. Thanks. Bus

Thu May 24, 01:25:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Ctsh is a 4 month double bottom at $75 = 80/20...downside...very little...profits up 60% on may 2...75 is the bottom..if there’s a better buy signal, i don’t see it playing JUNE 75 call 2.15,
zee
thanks john for confirming KALU...
buy KALU....eps trend is sizziling...eps has sun temperatures...

Thu May 24, 01:47:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

AAPL short or puts look really good here

Thu May 24, 01:52:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

AVR ..17.5 downside is 10 cent ..AVR in a new sustainable price channel...17.5 up to $21...just like STP is in 34 to 39 price channel...bull/bear...gridlock.. checkmate..
CME at 540 = BOT = 205
cme, refuses to go below gap up,(510.10) so to me i think BOT bottomed right now...ties up $570 to find out..if im right i can buy the BOT june 190 call for 5.70...and sell for $1000,downside BOT retest 185 or 188...doubtful..then i have to wait 3 days to get my money back...so downside, cash wise...there is none ..zero
zee

Thu May 24, 02:24:00 PM EDT  
Blogger legos said...

Beanie...what symbol Apple puts you recommend???

Thu May 24, 02:25:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

die market die!!!

This is the real correction

Thu May 24, 02:33:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

legos,

i got in the money. June 115 puts

Thu May 24, 02:34:00 PM EDT  
Blogger drnova2000 said...

Beanie,

Is CRM the next ORCL? It's now $44.43. That was a perfect short @49. Pefect black candle!!!

Thu May 24, 02:42:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Sorry. Too boring. Time to brag.

gosu said...

NOPE. I don't think we are going to 12900. No way. No way at this time. Not before we touch 13600.
Mon May 14, 02:09:00 PM EDT


We are going to 13600.
Tue May 15, 10:10:00 AM EDT

Alok, the sell off yesterday was on low volume anyway.
I think Dow hits 13600 before going back to 12900.
Fri May 11, 09:48:00 AM EDT

I don't know about S&P, but I think Dow will see 13600 before any correction to 12900.
Wed May 02, 01:01:00 PM EDT

Thu May 24, 02:49:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

stephen,

I only mentioned AMZN as a short is because i felt the market was really going to correct.

Looking at it now, it is still in the green or flat. But if the market keeps on going down, it will take AMZN with it.

Intermediate to longer term, i really like the stock. Huge potential.

Thu May 24, 03:05:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

drnova200,

yes CRM is the next ORCL.

In the short term, it could see 37 if the market correction continues.

Thu May 24, 03:06:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Johnny3185 said...

Heads up from MAS - HUGE call volume surge on MU...

Thu May 24, 03:30:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

EPD is buy now JUNE 30 call 1.05 sell 2.00...downside none zero ...natural gas services..like OIH cept this is natural gas
zee

Thu May 24, 03:35:00 PM EDT  
Blogger edvise said...

I hope beanie was selling NTRZ short to all
he could....

Thu May 24, 03:36:00 PM EDT  
Blogger edvise said...

Hi Z-stock...Would you be willing to publish your link to your blogsite. I am interested in tracking your options and understanding them better...This is "Advise" BTW. I had to change my name so I could post again.

Thu May 24, 03:41:00 PM EDT  
Blogger sr said...

NYX below your BUY price-

Thu May 24, 03:46:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Anon said...

You guys think this is the start of "THE" correction, or just a market event. Please advise. Thanks, BOOMER

Thu May 24, 03:49:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

its easy to get $4 bounce azo so today was no risk to capital if you buy the JUNE 125 call...there is absolutely zero risk to capital...AZO 90/10 entry price is 125, but i doubt it gets that low
zee..

Thu May 24, 04:03:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

AL BABY
Click on my picture icon in comments section, it takes you right to my blog....google does this for every body’s picture. And google also directs to everyone by mouse clicking on name....as well...this is blog world...everything is easy in blog world
http://z-stock.blogspot.com/
zee

Thu May 24, 04:09:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Hey Zee, whats your price entry point for the cubes?
I saw it had severe resistance at 46.

Thu May 24, 04:25:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

It seems clear to me that market top this cycle has come and gone, (at 13,600) just as XLE predicted it Would.) so i’m hoping for controlled downward selling pressure toward 12,900.=DIA 50 day I don’t want any down days greater than 200 in one day, as this will upset my pricing channels and percent channels...so for me it’s business as usual...buy on the dips.
zee

Thu May 24, 04:41:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Alok said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

Thu May 24, 04:46:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Alok said...

Today wasn't that bad, but whats amazing is that we were up 80 and now down 80. the most irritating thing is the reason for the fall as quoted on yahoo finance is that the housing numbers were bad. i mean WTF, the inventory reduced from 8.x mths to 6 mths. how can that be taken as negative news? can't these assXXXX's come up with something better? all afternoon CNBC was touting that the housing numbers were good, but now that we have a 80 point down day, just blame it on housing, like anyone was expecting those numbers to be good.

IMO - we have a down day because of GOSU. He said the mkt would fall and it did, damn you gosu lol. now get back to your calculater and get the mkt to go up. hahaha.

Thu May 24, 04:50:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

ICE:

hope you played. It got impacted (compacted?) today. lol

Thu May 24, 05:01:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

Alok, You were right about KOMG but on the other direction lol

Thu May 24, 05:05:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

i think this here’s my final word..on market direction..... the trend is your friend and the trend is down...and when the market starts correcting, it doesn’t let up, for four or five days in a row...usually...
so long positions, will only get small profits, and short positions should get huge profits...
zee

Thu May 24, 06:06:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

I don't know if a trend has manifested itself yet. Alok housing being the cause is all BS. Liz Rappaport from thestreet.com has a good article on todays decline. It has to do with the bond market.

Thu May 24, 07:23:00 PM EDT  
Blogger TraderB said...

The bond market sold off on the housing news. Higher rates are an excuse for this market to sell off. How long it does so remains to be seen but I'm cautiously putting my spare cash to work on dips.

Thu May 24, 07:30:00 PM EDT  
Blogger TraderB said...

Fantastic call on the Dow Gosu.

Thu May 24, 07:38:00 PM EDT  
Blogger walstinvestor said...

Alok.........irony of ironies housing stocks were up across the board today on the heels of this so-called "bad/good" housing news. Even Toll Brothers was up today which came out with "bad" numbers this morning.


"In corporate news, housing stocks were among the market's best performers as the Commerce Department data showed sales ramped up last month, albeit as prices fell. Even Toll Brothers Inc. -- which reported second-quarter profit fell sharply -- rose 30 cents to $30.07."

Thu May 24, 07:53:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

DELL selling at WMT, i guess that means, we’ll soon be seeing WMT price point on laptops. Walmart always has one item in the middle isle priced at a certain point, that lures customers to that section of the store. Thus the Walmart invention, “pricing point”. So get ready for the first “ pricing point”, $119 laptop.
zee

Thu May 24, 09:51:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

AMTD totsal EPS trend failure, downside is it double tops at 19.7, but who cares, the market trend id down, and the trend will be your freind....short now = 80/20

CKFR another EPS failure story, these guys like to middle man bank stuff...well EPS is not on fire, in fact it is trending down...downside is it gets one dollar above the 200 day, but i think it fails at 200 day = 80/20
zee

Fri May 25, 01:40:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Alok said...

KOMG is a piece of crap lol, just does hold, glad i didnt touch it, but it did bounce for 4 straight days before resuming its trend.

i was watching CNBC internations and some dickhead there came and predicted that rates are going to rise for the next 20 yrs, yes TWENTY, i'm not smart enough to make up shit like this. hahahaha

its good the housing stocks rose today, now we can get back to shorting them :)

Fri May 25, 02:20:00 AM EDT  
Blogger dmyegorov said...

Alok,
I am wondering if KOMAG will touch book value soon :) It can't trade lower than that, right ? ;)
D.

Fri May 25, 08:36:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Alok said...

hahahaha that is a good thought. Look at MU if you want something at book value.

with all this take over frenzy your right, it shouldnt go lower. but its dead money, i wouldn't hold it long term unless you see some rumors or volume pick up. will try to swing it when it picks up again.

Fri May 25, 08:42:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Alok said...

LMRA has huge vol in pre-mkt

Fri May 25, 08:55:00 AM EDT  
Blogger dmyegorov said...

Alok,
I would dream to hold a stock that will never go down in price, and will always have p/e providing 20% of yearly income ;)

Fri May 25, 09:43:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

LVS puts back in the green after that Kerkorizing I took earlier in the week.

Dimitry, hoping you took advantage and got out while the getting was good.

_________________

Zee, or anyone, take a look at MU and tell me what you think on the long side...?

Fri May 25, 10:26:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

beanie11111 said...
die market die!!!

This is the real correction

Thu May 24, 02:33:00 PM EDT


_______________

No.

____________________

BOOMER said...
You guys think this is the start of "THE" correction, or just a market event. Please advise. Thanks, BOOMER

Thu May 24, 03:49:00 PM EDT


______________________

I advise "no."

Fri May 25, 10:33:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Long:

MU, DNDN, GERN, LJPC

and....

CGPI! (yep, the one I shorted a couple of weeks back)

______________

Short:

LVS (Sorry D)

DE

Fri May 25, 10:42:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Sorry, also long Cubes.

Fri May 25, 10:43:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Could yesterday be another false top?

Well, not sure, but i think it's really time to get back in NYX!

Fri May 25, 10:54:00 AM EDT  
Blogger dmyegorov said...

JakeGint,

I sold LVS at over 80 :)

Fri May 25, 10:58:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Dimitry... nice job.

I was feeling guilty again.

Fri May 25, 11:06:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Alok said...

is NDAQ a buy at these levels?

Fri May 25, 11:13:00 AM EDT  
Blogger sr said...

WTF is wrong with NYX -

Fri May 25, 11:57:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

Komg does not pass the standard mathematical tests for a value investment yet...might soon though!

Fri May 25, 12:01:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

SHORT CKFR june 40 put 2.55 SHORT AMTD, june20 put 1.25/1.30, buy recommendations, none, zero, not even D at 86 looking like an 80/20 , but might be 50/50
zee

Fri May 25, 01:01:00 PM EDT  
Blogger joerawr said...

What do you guys think of GLW as an intermediate buy and hold?

Fri May 25, 01:15:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

I thought Dell might go up $16 on walmart news, BOUGHT XLE 67 put 1.10, hedge against market pullback , and holiday price gasoline, tanking next week, I see D at 85 EOD im buying JUNE 85 call 1.10/1.40
zee

Fri May 25, 01:23:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Arun said...

AMTD is a good short now? Thoughts?

Fri May 25, 01:48:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

NSC is finished, it has tested top and is about to fail..June 06 eps = may 07 EPS and yet NSC is $2 higher than 06 ), probably because DIA is higher and Buffet on BNI news...This is a good short candidate..80/20.+ eps is trending down last 90 days ..JUNE 55 put is 0.70 ---JUNE 60 put 3.40 low was 2.60 June 60 put, exactly follows stock price...and another transport stock LSTR, on blog i told you to short down $3 already..

Fri May 25, 02:34:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

on another note... 5 out of last 6 months Hang seng ($HSI), (feb's was especially cruel to long positions)...has crashed last week of the month
zee

Fri May 25, 02:37:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

NYX:

ok, this has bottomed at 83. Get on in!!!

Fri May 25, 02:42:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

alok,

yes NDAQ is a great buy at these level.

Fri May 25, 02:45:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

AAPL:

is a buy.


this stock is very strong. Doesn't seem like anything can put a lid on it.

It will continue up.

Fri May 25, 02:46:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

Beanie, I think STP might have bottomed. Do you agree?

Fri May 25, 03:11:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

AAPL:

it is very likely going to go below 100 especially when it took such a long time for it get above it.

You can buy Oct calls or Jan calls and probably will make alot of money.

Fri May 25, 03:12:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

lane,

i bought extra STP July 40 calls for a gamble on earnings.

I think it has bottomed.

Fri May 25, 03:12:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

NYX has really bottomed at 83 is my opinion. It should go higher next week.


Get on board!

Fri May 25, 03:17:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

soorry i gotta make a correctiion regarding AAPL:

it is very UNLIKELY to go below 100....


sorry

Fri May 25, 03:18:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

AAPL AAPL is going higher and taking no prisoners!!!!!!!!!!

buy buy buy!!!

Fri May 25, 03:20:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

GAS buying GAS june 45 call 2.40 feb 23 earnings call , raises outlook,utility ,,distributes nat gas to 2.1m customers EPS trending 16% higher than oct 06.. always comes to within 50 cent of 200 day and moves higher from there...target 46.8 = 80/20 , downside decides to test 2oo day at 46.2....
zee
STP 63% earnings growth, I think May 29 going to be mother of all gap ups for STP...

Fri May 25, 03:24:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Alok said...

Picking up some TSL, dont know if the fall is done so I'm just picking up a little. might fall some more on Tuesday, but i like it.

Fri May 25, 03:32:00 PM EDT  
Blogger jet said...

TSL getting decimated

Fri May 25, 03:32:00 PM EDT  
Blogger jet said...

TSL is down on a 2nd offering, but yeah I like this for long term. Own some shares but worth averaging down.

Fri May 25, 03:40:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Alok said...

i agree, it looks like its bottomed for the day. hard to say for something that has swung so hard but it looks like the bleeding has stopped. 48.8 looks like a great entry point.

Fri May 25, 03:45:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

HERE”S 50/50 scenario, DIA goes to 13,650 means 100 to 1 dia going to 138.
138 = 8.5% (eps growth Q1) added to feb high of 12,700 ish, so there is hard statistical fact in the 138 number,138 is not a random number in other words, its backed by facts
zee

Fri May 25, 04:59:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Looks like once again this is not the real correction.

We going higher next week is more likely.

Fri May 25, 05:44:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

I have it on good authority, (VR Trader), that the the market will panic when the US demands that China strenthens it YAUN. This will come in the form of US tarriffs. Now here’s what I understand. Anything that threatens to raise interest rates, collapses the market. Tarriff’s raise prices, in turn, create inflation. Threat of inflation plays into Big Ben’s hand (FOMC), to go out and sink the US market. So, as chatter from Chinese tarriff’s get louder, watch for the market to panic sell.
Sell-off should stop at 13,160 and then watch for DIA, to rise to 13,800.
APPL NEW TARGET PRICE 120/130

Fri May 25, 09:08:00 PM EDT  
Blogger StocksWalayBaba said...

When everyone knows that the event will happen in this context, the selloff, then most of the time ppl try to act before others and when everyone is openly bearish then it means you have dip-buyers in waiting. I dont know how much more dip is still there but if the primary trend is up then its going to make U turn sooner. I really appreciate beanie and friends posts. Indeed its one of my eight home tabs in IE 7. Thanks folks.

Fri May 25, 09:53:00 PM EDT  
Blogger walstinvestor said...

Jake-

The dollar appears to be poised to bust through 122 Yen next week.

As you stated preiously, carry-on.

All is well with carry-trade liquidity, not to mention the ongoing Chinese government's economic plan of investment of their massive liquidity into western markets and investment vehicles.

(Were you by any chance hanging out in the sixties listening to the likes of CSN?)

Fri May 25, 11:58:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

I bought a few Nov komg calls before close today. The pricing on it is next to ridiculously cheap. Planning to buy more the coming week...taking off...camping trip in the rockies...have a good weekend all.

Sat May 26, 02:09:00 AM EDT  
Blogger TV107 said...

Anyone think RIMM will crash next week?

Any predictions for Tuesday and the next 5 days?

Sat May 26, 09:38:00 AM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Two Economic Reports in a row. May 30 Wed. FOMC, minutes. ( usually Ben helps market, but I’m still wary.) Then the next day, THURS, May 31,is the GDP, report at 0.8% estimate. That’s so bad, I can’t even put that into words. So, I think I will get out of my longs, just in case...
Zee...
FRI., JUNE 1 , the employment report, ISM, these two reports might get ignored, if previous two days, still have legs.

Sat May 26, 11:19:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

i found two more shorts that make sense in any market direction...ALOG and CREE..80/20...details at the site
zee

Sun May 27, 04:25:00 PM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Wal queried:

([Jake,] Were you by any chance hanging out in the sixties listening to the likes of CSN?)

I'm afraid the only "hanging out" I did in the sixties was at the very end, when I was attached to an umbilical cord. I'm sure Mom was listening, however.

When I started listening to "classic rock" (by then, it was) in the eighties, I loved anything by Neal Young and/or CSN.

Still do.

(Also liked "Carry on my wayward son, there'll be peace when you are done," by the way)

Mon May 28, 01:44:00 PM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Zee semi-predicted:

Then the next day, THURS, May 31,is the GDP, report at 0.8% estimate. That’s so bad, I can’t even put that into words. So, I think I will get out of my longs, just in case...

Curious, could it not also be "so bad" that it's not only priced in, but "manufactured for beatin'?"

________________

Also, I think you short CREE at your own peril. I think it's in recovery right now, along with STP.

Mon May 28, 01:48:00 PM EDT  
Blogger vonpinscher said...

z-stock or jake what do you think will happen tues with stp???

Mon May 28, 05:53:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Jake, since my BRL short blunder / fiasco...., my shorts have gone back to totally accurate again, including XLE. I found two more shorts...VZ and BWLD at 90/91
Zee
As usual, details at the blog site, im not pumping any long positions, as i am to afraid the market will correct, however i think STP has a good chance of gaining in the morning, pre market

Mon May 28, 09:32:00 PM EDT  
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