The last few years have been great to me, as i was able to clobber the S&P500 many times in returns. But of course, you can't make a living trading the markets if you don't make great great returns. I'll try to give my readers trades that i think will make them money. However, you need to have money management skills, in order not to lose everything on a greedy or stupid trade. I may or may not already be in the trades i recommend. I may or may not trade the stocks i recommend. Due diligence is required on your part and the usual disclaimer that i am not responsible for your losses always apply. I have no affiliations with any broker/dealer and all posts are for educational purposes only. Remember to 'refresh' the home page and the "Comments" pages frequently in order to receive updated posts. Let's rock!
posted by beanie11111 | 3:46 AM
86 Comments:
Gosu,
Who upgdared AMZN to 82? I don't see any announcement about it.
Thanks
dimitry, zee posted about amzn to 82. Not me.
I think AMZN is overbought.
Gosu,
I am sorry, of course it was posted by Z...
Dimitry
congrats, CROX holders!
(W. regard to what you posted on that last entry (go long AMGN))--
Beanz, all due respect, but I think you've got your wires crossed on the global warming thing.
I don't think anyone is disputing that the earth has warmed a tad (as it has off and on for millions of years). I think the dispute lies in causation.
Is it man made? Then what caused the warming in the 14th century? The Black Plague? What's warming Mars? Martian SUV's?
Or is it caused by normal solar cycles like the one that's peaking right now?
All I'm saying is don't get too caught up in the hype. There's a lot of money in being "green" these days, and it's not just Gulfstream Al Gore that's raking it in.
_____________________
That said, I think there's wisdom in speculating in the more solid alternate energy plays, even though I'd lean towards those that will provide abundant electricity through nuclear capacity than perhaps those from the solar side, which I think will remain a niche power supply until the technology changes.
AMZN is up in premarket, but not much (17 cents) and on limp volume.
MON is up about fitty cent, but not as much as it was last night (5100 shs traded).
I'm no perma bear, but I can't wait until CROX crax.
Fad city, the knock-offs are literally everywhere.
I don't know how you sustain margins in that kind of environment that unless they pull a NIKE and get LeBron James or Tiger Woods to endorse them....
WFMI is not even close to a bottom yet, maybe a bounce[ which i doubt also] but no bottom. There will be a leg up this AM to @ $38.85 an then another leg down. [ not substantial tho] and then ?, I haven't looked at long term shart, just last few days. Way too much risk for me in that chart.
Hey beanie your thoughts on HRBN
elmyko1
i bought AAPL May 105 puts this morning. All or nothing play. Expires this friday.
i think there's a good chance the markets are gonna get bruised and battered very soon. The run up this morning will likely be sold into.
PCU is a good short too.
NULL,
10 Min chart on the cubes. Double bottom at $46 yesterday, [which also happens to be lower trendline for the last 5 days on the tens,] and in a bear flag now tho and may break out either way. Upside breakout could take it to upper trendline resistance @ $46.60 area[+/-.10]. A bounce down there would be place to pick up puts for short term drop. A push thru would then test yestedays highs. A break down of $46 would be great for puts, but I'd wait for confirmation before buying to avoid the bear trap.
Option volume lately appears to be predicting the qqqq between 45-46 soon. But is not always a true reading[max pain theory]
WTF happened to my short AKAM post?
Ethernet phantoms?
Well, it ran right past my July 45's taret price (2.90) and now it's "running away, running away" like the Camelot knights from the rabbit in Monty Pythons Holy Grail movie...
Must.... maintain... discipline.... so.... haaaaard....
FRPT down to 25 now.
Good that I didn't pull the trigger on this one :)
Crazy you looking to get into FRPT?
jake, looks like CROX is break finally. these upgrades come so late. RVBD also looking weak. both look like good short candidates.
Beanz... you know that they say...
A CRAAPL short a day keeps the doctor away!
(not to mention keeping you reg'lar)
AKAM down a buck now.. FAAAAAAAAAAACK!
FACK
FACK
FACK
FACK!!!
Jake where do u think AKAM will bottom. I'm thinking its going to get to 39.
Alok, our dude Beanz posted quite bullish comments on FRPT a couple of days ago. Everything looked good, I was about to pull the trigger then I learned the Cramer has recomended this one.. at that point I became cautious because I believe whatever Cramer recomends becomes favorite play for shorties.
It goes up for few days then comes down hard :(
i suggest you take this rally to get out
die PCU die!
I think this morning is a BULL TRAP
Short term, $40... then maybe $37.
Not sure there's not something wrong here, Alok... that one plunge was not from enthusiasm.
Remember Lord Rothschild's admonition and don't be the first one back in the pool.
Could be carbonic acid.
ENG just keeps chugging along.
Like the little engine that could.
But if the track's broke.... (I'm out today, no matter what...)
HRBN super low float low P/E compared to peers just signed deal with north american auto supplier. I think this one is worth checking out. Any feedback is greatly appreciated.
elmyko1
Has anyone else noticed that most stocks hit thier intraday highs in the first 15-30 mins and then never come back to see it again. I know that the indices are showing green, but most stocks are retracing their morning leads right now.
Hey Crazy, nothing looked good in FRPT a few days back, now I am starting to like it. will wait for all the selling to be done, lot of people must be sitting on 100% gains on that one so lets wait till they take their profits.
Jake what say short CROX?
Beanie's fav JSDA is up 5%, NYX is also up.
DKS bouncing off the 200dma.
Sold STP @ 36.2, bought yesterday @35.5
Not sure is it will keep going up yet.
W/ the cubes at 24.29-.30 on the bid, I'm still seeing 1.04-.05 on those July 46' puts.
Are you sure you gottem at 1.02 when the cubes broke 4.20 yesterday?
(Note -- this is not implausible due to volatility and sentiment changes)
NTRZ getting slammed down 17%, what happened.
Out of ENG at $10, and I'm already feeling the twinges of seller's remorse.
Did LVS bottom ?
NTRZ <---- CEO credibility issue
Let the truth be told in Conference Call at 11AM EST.
CGPI finally starting to get some downward mo here after that initial plunge couple weeks back.
Finally busted the near term (8/1/06-2/22/07) 78.6% retrace number at $10.06, and now heading to the long term (5/18/05-2/22/07) 50% retrace line at $9.82. I don't expect much resistance there, and if we bust it, we should be home free til almost 8.40, where the near term retrace hits 100% and theirs decent support.
Given the recent crappy news on this stock, I think this is a reasonable high percentage play for this market environment.
beanie11111 said...
i suggest you take this rally to get out
Wed May 16, 09:56:00 AM EDT
beanie11111 said...
die PCU die!
Wed May 16, 09:57:00 AM EDT
beanie11111 said...
I think this morning is a BULL TRAP
Wed May 16, 09:58:00 AM EDT
YESSSS!!!
SWEEEET!!!
MACAAACAA YAPEEPIEE!!
Dimitry... LVS looking like H&S formation here, and sitting on both support and a long term (38.2%) fib line (10/19/05-1/16/07) here at 78.22 or so...
IOW, big time "do nothing yet" moment.
GOSE - You are SW Asian Indian as well, no?
What is this "Macaca?" Isn't that what (former Sen.) George Allen got in trouble for after he called that Indian kid that name?
AAPL:
those puts will certainly more than double by the close
Yes, Jake. Thats true!
Dimitry, forgive my error on the LVS 38.2% long term fib... It's hard to get a read on these lines on the long term charts.. a touch of the mouse loses you fifty cents.
The actual line is HIGHER at about 78.85 or so... so we are about fifty cents give or take BELOW it right now.
Again, caution, as this may be a better near term short oppprtunity.
Wow! Tie, last week's hero now looking like a great short opp here if it continues this bounce (weak) off two separate intermediate term (overlapping) fib lines at 37.03. If it can get past 37.20 or so, it should go back to 37.35, or even BETTER, 37.70-ish, and then be a great short opp from there.
Gose -- but what does the term "macaca" mean?
From Wikipedia:
"Macaca[1] is a pejorative epithet used by francophone colonialists in Central Africa's Belgian Congo for the native population.[2] It may be derived from the name of the genus comprising macaque monkeys. The word macaque has also been used as a racial slur. The macaque's genus name, Macaca, is a latinization of the Bantu (Kongo) ma-kako,[3] meaning "monkey".
In the United States, the term was at the center of a controversy during the 2006 United States Senate election in Virginia when it was used by the Republican incumbent, George Allen. Relating to the Allen controversy, "Macaca" was named the most politically incorrect word of 2006 on December 15 by Global Language Monitor, a nonprofit group that studies word usage [2"
MBKR.ob,
im not a fan of ob stocks but look at their news of late. Growth is huge north of the border.$4 price target and 3 for 1 split on the 24th. Real company real earnings.
I also just starting a long term growth account.My holdings are these. $125,000 TO WORK WITH.
2000 - SIGA @ 3.80
1000 - SLV @ 13.00
500 - NDAQ @ 31.28
1000 - STP @ 35.88
1000 - UA @ WAITING FOR ENTRY
500 - JSDA @ WAITING FOR ENTRY
These sre long term holds, open for thoughts to this growth holdings, I am only 35yrs old.
BTrade -- thanks for the info... one thing, however, is that I think (though I'm not sure) that it means something significant to SW Asian Indians (maybe just another insult, but...), and that's why it was such a big deal w. Allen because the kid was Indian.
Alok, Gose -- true?
Can we please focus on stocks - I do not care who buys or sells them, right? PnL is the game here.
Thank you.
AAPL:
holy cow, those puts already more than 150%!!!
Now if AAPL drops another 8 dollars before the close of friday, we'd be up a wicked 2400% at least. lol
holy sh%t, our AAPL May 105 puts are up over 400% just now!!!
pinch me!! lol
I think it was supposed to be one of those words that aren't supposed to be used period. Offensive to all colored people. Was fun watching the dumbass shoot himself in the foot. Anyways, markets going up again. It's no fun being a bear these days!
AAPL:
iphone delayed
http://www.engadget.com/2007/05/16/iphone-delayed-until-october-leopard-delayed-again-until-januar/
looks like AAPL could get below 100 by friday..?
stay tuned...
AAPL:
turns out the report was false. Bastids!
Are the puts on AAPL still on -
I think our beloved bull is on its last legs.
We need a correction so freakin bad here...
Let it correct and then stabilize till August and lets start our march to Dow 15,000
picked up some more NYX here under 80.
gigm up a nice 3% making up for yesterdays pull back.
man ENG's chart is a daytraders dream today
sri,
AAPL puts are off now if you own it already. That drop messed up the chart.
man, bears are ruthless! bunch of rumor mongers and liars! lol
Beanz!
Nice job on the Craapl puts!
Wish I'd joined you...
But then if I did, they wouldn't have worked and you'd be pissed, so...
Enjoy!
BRLC taking off from lows
TTEC nice 30 degree 50 day that’s going up...target price 33 met...now it’s time to test the next high in this cycle...buy JN 30 call 3.50/3.60 ... sell minimum $4.50......downside ...NONE....ZERO...
Zee
Also eyes are peeled on IYR....need 50 cent more down to reach 200 day...and im buying..IYR 80 or 81 call ...works good...VNO at 114= 70/30....SPG at 104= 70/30...doubt if either gets this low...IYR downside...i dont see any at 200 day price...
Closed out AMGN...holding INT, LCC,,trying to buy ANDE jn35c...4.40...and glanced at sbux...beannie is correct...imo...
Crap, looks like I cursed you anyway....
Zee-Bob--
Take a guess where TTEC is crackin' it's head right now?
I believe I'll wait til it clears $33.44 to take advantage of this no-downsider... ggggg.
Where the heck did Catcher go?
I wanna talk Cubes...
I think this 46.40 area is Line o' Death (or life, however you see it).
Anyone?
As far as amzn target price $82....i can only find $63 officially....i was reading where amzn can turn its (money losing) 10 mil sq ft. of wharehouse space into total, money maker ....shipping for ebay...then the article went on to do the math...and came up with $82...and i know first hand ebay power sellers will make out like bandits if amzn provides this service....because power sellers are getting killed by shipping costs....
zee
I found an AMZN target of $66 on 5/9/07 by ThinkEquity Partners.
Didn't I tell you this yesterday
gosu said...
I think the cubes are oversold.
Tue May 15, 05:15:00 PM EDT
Didn't I tell you this yesterday? The Cubes are oversold...
Amazingly, they dropped 40 pts from this quote... And I didn't hear you repeat when that happened?
Were you buying?
Hi Beanie,
I thinking of buying MPEL here @ $14.00. I like the future of Macau and think MPEL will get the VIP rooms going very soon, bet just waiting to make sure the rooms are worthy of high rollers (whales).
What do you think?
I HATE AMZN :)
anyone has any idea why the hell it is still above 60 and clesed over 63 today !?
so did you make that 400% profit on those aapl puts? Cause if anyone bought'em on your advice they'd be screwed.
He bought 'em. He didn't tell anyone else to buy 'em.
What's your beef?
Dimitry... AMZN brings to mind that old Wall Street saw:
The markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
That's why I let these suckers get kicked around a bit before I try to short them m'self. And even then you really have to keep a tight stop. Take a look at AKAM today... this morning I was bitching and moaning about not being able to buy the May 45's at $2.90, and they went all the way to $4.00 today... only to end up bid/ask $2.15-2.30!
Crazy days.
Dimitry...add EBAY + AMZN and you get WMT......that’s how i’m looking at this semi merger, idea.( which by the way, i beleive is in the AMZN conference call)..so i give up trying to short AMZN...
zee
(Remember this morning when I said that an AKAM short post had disappeared on me? Well, it's due to this new MSFT "tabbed" window thing on the ... I'd left it on a "tab" on another window without realizing it, and only found it just now... anyway, it all looks comical in hindsight anyhow:)
I like AKAM as a short again, especially if it manages to feebly bump it's head on it's last busted short term retracement level at about 42.55, and then fall off.
"Feebly," means LOW VOLUME. (All sentient board readers can disregard this last bit.)
Thanks Beanie for cleaning up this board and giving me another profitable day! :-)
zstock,
ebay + amazon = AmazonBay!
i have predicted for sometime now that they will eventually merge, and become a superpowerhouse.
p.m,
when i called AAPL short, the puts were at .15-.25 .
nobody lost money if they bought b4 the fake rumor.
Okay...I'm giving in to my inner bull...started buying...maybe we will see the correction soon now
Beanie HRBN would love to hear your comment on it. Good, bad, ugly?
I like what i see i just want to know if i'm blind or if anyone else like what there seeing? As always greatly appreciated.
elmyko1
Jake--
Looks like the dollar is knocking up against 121 Yen tonight.
P.M., you seem quite upset this evening. I do wish you'd refrain from the negative posts directed at longtime members that I've a ton of respect for. I'm asking nicely to please refrain from direct attacks please. They get us nowhere.
We're all human and from time to time things can get a tad heated, especially during difficult market periods. This type of medium is really not always ideal in deciphering the attitude behind a post, often we'll add our own emotion at the time to the words we read.
Sue :)
myke,
Never heard of HRBN but the chart looks bullish for now.
Wal --
You beat me to it... I think 122 is the near term high... prolly get back to there, at least, with this mo.
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