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The last few years have been great to me, as i was able to clobber the S&P500 many times in returns. But of course, you can't make a living trading the markets if you don't make great great returns. I'll try to give my readers trades that i think will make them money. However, you need to have money management skills, in order not to lose everything on a greedy or stupid trade. I may or may not already be in the trades i recommend. I may or may not trade the stocks i recommend. Due diligence is required on your part and the usual disclaimer that i am not responsible for your losses always apply. I have no affiliations with any broker/dealer and all posts are for educational purposes only. Remember to 'refresh' the home page and the "Comments" pages frequently in order to receive updated posts. Let's rock!

Thursday, January 18, 2007

AAPL getting rotten short term!

AAPL closed @ 94.95 and is trading at @93.40 this premarket.

It's time to short AAPL on any rise. Great earnings and revenues growth last quarter but guided lower next quarter which didn't beat analysts' expectations. What is important is the guidance, not so much last quarter's great results.

Also, the iPhone is available in June but we won't know how it will do until the October conference call.

So i expect AAPL to be pressured at least for the next 2-3 months.


Short it when the stock rebounds on the gap down.

46 Comments:

Blogger beanie11111 said...

i shorted a little bit in the premarket.

Thu Jan 18, 08:06:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

HOKU: has big news.

5.4


(i got no position)

Thu Jan 18, 08:12:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

NVDA: a great short.

34.01 premarket

Thu Jan 18, 08:27:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

AAPL: i dunno what Cramer is trying to do. He thinks the tech rally is over for the time being and recommends sell, yet he likes AAPL,GOOG,CSCO,HPQ. If people dump their techs, it will evitably drag down these leaders as well. Alternatively, if these leaders rise, it should lift most tech boats..

We'll see.

Thu Jan 18, 08:31:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

GIGM: a great buy and going higher longer term

Thu Jan 18, 08:38:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

wait a second! i bought in at 96 on the hype that "AAPL is the premier high tech to own this year!!! buy buy buy!!!". now you are telling us to short it??? i thought AAPL was an "Intermediate to longer term play".

what gives??

brett

Thu Jan 18, 08:38:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

NFLX has news...Any juice in this baby still?

Pamfla

Thu Jan 18, 08:52:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

brett,

Yes AAPL is a great buy for the intermediate to longer term . That's 3 months to over 1 year.

If you own it for the longer term, it's ok to keep it. But i would rather leave the train and buy back lower when a likely possible correction is done.

AAPL is short term overbought, especially in light of the guidance for next quarter. Jmho. Had they impress for next quarter, this thing would have gapped up and take off above 100. We need to respect all data points and news and make or change our short term judgement. I still like AAPL as an investment. Maybe Cramer is right, maybe AAPL will prove to be a bad short term short. I dunno, but i'm trading it immediate/short term base on my analysis.

Thu Jan 18, 08:56:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

AAPL: in spite of the lowered guidance for next quarter, what made me want to go short is that the stock is gapping down. If the big boys who are upgrading the stock really likes AAPL immediate/short term, why didn't they gap up the stock and buy them hotcakes?

Maybe the big boys are trying to fool the masses premarket. Maybe they'll take this stock positive by the close of today (in which case i'll probably cover my shorts). If the stock closes negative, then i know my short is correct.

We'll see.

Thu Jan 18, 09:00:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

AAPL should rebound this morning. If the bounce doesn't hold, it's a good time to short the stock for us daytraders/swingtraders.

Thu Jan 18, 09:02:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

NFLX no comment? Bought late...
22.70 any sugg?

Pamfla

Thu Jan 18, 09:03:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

pamfla,

sell NFLX. This is too slow a mover for you. The trend is still down.

Thu Jan 18, 09:07:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

pamfla,

actually, wait a little and see if it wants to go negative and stay negative today. If so, sell that NFLX! If it goes positive, it may have bottomed short term.

Thu Jan 18, 09:08:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Thanxs Beanie,

Still trying to get it right...
Pamfla

Have a sell in...

Thu Jan 18, 09:28:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

HOKU holy crap

Pamfla

sold 22.94 got to go
Luv, Pamfla

Thu Jan 18, 09:39:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

That's HUGE news on GIGM today! Thanks to whoever recommended it the other day!!

Thu Jan 18, 09:49:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I covered some AAPL shorts earlier. Holding the rest.

Thu Jan 18, 11:11:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

i'll take credit for the GIGM update

i advise everyone on this blog to go to Yahoo's GIGM message board & just read the last several PR's put out by this company since mid-December 2006

look at the developments happening with GIGM - they are really impressive

i think the platform that GIGM is setting up in Asia w/ their on-line gaming & gambling (remember Everest Poker is the 5th-largest poker site in the world), GIGM's future growth prospects are astounding

their Everest Poker site is what's driving their revenue & profit for the immediate & short-term

all the deals GIGM has made over the past month or os is what will drive their long-term profit

basically theya re rolling over their gambling profit into their gaming side of the business

GIGM's CEO & CFO are former Goldman Sach's M&A people, so they really know how to get a deal done

i consider GIGM as a "first-mover" in Asia's gambling arena w/ their "Mahjong cash-wagering" software that they will be licensing to many other gambling websites as well

GIGM is a great short-term buy w/ 4Q earnings set to come out in early-March, but GIGM is also an AWESOME long-term hold into at least 2008 when the deals they are making now will start to turn a nice profit


Van_G

Thu Jan 18, 11:33:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie:

Is PFSW still a play?

Thu Jan 18, 11:56:00 AM EST  
Blogger Johnny3185 said...

Check out ABPI. Once it breaks above $4.50, it's all the way to $7. Maybe more. Pick up some LNUX today. It could be near the $6 mark in a week or two.

Thu Jan 18, 11:57:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I'm hearing somebody upgraded HOKU to 8.50

Thu Jan 18, 11:59:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

CJB.TO going higher! 0.80 now. Bought at 0.74

Thu Jan 18, 12:05:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

anyone have any thoughts on XNN...finally moving up

-mark the rat


NYX and MA are tanking today

Thu Jan 18, 03:20:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Holy Sh--!!

If it weren't for XNN I would be all red. This sure has not been a good start to the year!!

Thu Jan 18, 03:20:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Lee,
me too....
I am still down 340 bucks on XNN...holding 1,000 shrs.

-mark the rat

Thu Jan 18, 03:26:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

Is there anything to buy at this hour for tomorrow?
HOKU GIGM
Pamfla

Dumped am suggestion

Thu Jan 18, 03:33:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have 1000 shares also, but I am down more than that. The sad part is that not to long ago I was up $1000 and I got greedy waiting for it to pop. Learning alot here and the biggest lesson may be to go back to a good mutual fund like Hartford Cap App and let the pros worry about it.

Thu Jan 18, 03:35:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Sounds like none of you took my recommendation on XING which I posted twice. Too bad, you'd be up a buck today at least from where I recommended it. Good thing for you (and me!) is that it won't be fairly valued for a while so a good entry's are still to be had.

Thu Jan 18, 03:49:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

buy FORG, MAMA, PFSW,ONT

Thu Jan 18, 03:50:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

How long do you think the market correction is going to last?

Thu Jan 18, 03:50:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anonymous,

I beg your PARDON....I am an advid watcher of XING. Would love to buy some. How much higher will it go?

Thank you for posting.
Pamfla

Thu Jan 18, 03:56:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

XNN made me big bucks today! I'm the one who twice reminded everyone to load up the truck when it went under 2. It went up 9% today. Sweet!! :)

Thu Jan 18, 04:09:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

FORG should bounce tomorrow

Thu Jan 18, 04:24:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hi Beane - do you think that MED is close to bottoming here?

Thu Jan 18, 04:30:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

You recommended DIVX at 22+, as it sells at 20.5 now, what's your take ?

regds,
Abdul.

Thu Jan 18, 05:06:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

xnn up big after-hours it appears

-mark the rat

Thu Jan 18, 05:47:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Looks like only 100 shares @ 2.33 so I wouldn't go to the bank yet!! Ha!!

Thu Jan 18, 06:11:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

FORG will be on the run tomorrow.

Thu Jan 18, 06:17:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Okay Board,

What's gonna happen tomorrow?
I think HOKU will go to 8.00 easy
and XING will continue to take off !!! Any feelings? Pamfla

Thu Jan 18, 06:59:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You are asking Pamfla for advice??
Scarry!!!

Thu Jan 18, 07:39:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

no pamfla is asking the board whether or not to buy honu and xing
i would like everyone's advice too
greyhoundlas

Thu Jan 18, 08:32:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie and Board, Anonynous

WOW, you guys think I'm reckless and scary? Your absolutly correct/

Pamfla

Thu Jan 18, 08:43:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

i may move to fla so i can be reckless and scary like pamfla too
will anyone recommend for tomorrow am?
greyhoundlasiowa

Thu Jan 18, 08:59:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Keep an eye on XNN. Over 13,000 shares were traded in the AH in the 2.33 to 2.35 range from 7:45 to 7:50pm. Beanie, I think you should re-consider this one again. Something is up!

Fri Jan 19, 01:09:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie:
Nobody is talking about TRMM? Any feelings on this. Thanks

Jim

Fri Jan 19, 03:54:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

jim,

TRMM should trade higher intermediate to longer term. No reason to worry, about the company at this point, except the general market.

Fri Jan 19, 07:28:00 AM EST  

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