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The last few years have been great to me, as i was able to clobber the S&P500 many times in returns. But of course, you can't make a living trading the markets if you don't make great great returns. I'll try to give my readers trades that i think will make them money. However, you need to have money management skills, in order not to lose everything on a greedy or stupid trade. I may or may not already be in the trades i recommend. I may or may not trade the stocks i recommend. Due diligence is required on your part and the usual disclaimer that i am not responsible for your losses always apply. I have no affiliations with any broker/dealer and all posts are for educational purposes only. Remember to 'refresh' the home page and the "Comments" pages frequently in order to receive updated posts. Let's rock!

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Don't get scared. Wednesday is buy-the-dip day!

We are beyond a doubt severely short term oversold, on a repeat of the subprime scare again.

When you are confused and bewildered, please look to solar stocks as the place to be. We are at the beginnings of a multiyear rally in alternative energy, especially solar. Ted Turner is a visionary and he already gave you a clue as to what is the next big big thing. Don't you forget that.

Why solar? Everything else seem so played out and so yesterday. Honestly, how many times can you buy EBAY and YHOO. They are old news, yesterday's plays. They are now merely channeling stocks. Back and forth, back and forth like a yo-yo.

Alternative energy is the only sector offering intrigue, a new beginning, and a huge potential for the future.

FSLR, SPWR, STP, TSL, WFR, JASO, HOKU, etc.

Targets of Cramer's 4 Horsemen:
GOOG can double certainly but it will take several years.
AAPL can double from here but it will take several years.
RIMM can quadruple from here if they can defeat the iphone.
AMZN can and will quadruple in a few years.

75 Comments:

Blogger steve said...

gosu said...

SPY, S&P and Dow futures just fell of the cliff after the close.
Tue Jun 26, 04:19:00 PM EDT


Thanks for the heads up Gosu! How much of a drop do you predict for today??

Wed Jun 27, 07:59:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Anon said...

morning. just a quick note to tell you that i have had the opportunity to use an iphone overnight. my friend is a reporter. he violated the terms of his agreement and let me goof with it. as a result, i think i may short apple.

the thing is beautiful, really. the glass screen is kickin. the scroll features are novel, but not revolutionary.

here's the kicker: 1) the virtual keyboard is a dog. i'd rather IM on a phone. 2) you cant IM on this thing! unreal. 3) no voice dialing.

there are more issues, but that is what i experienced.

frankly, its a very beautiful turn. maybe 2.0 will be better.

take care,

boomer

Wed Jun 27, 08:45:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Wowee, the yen carry did a turn around last night and this morning.

Currently looking at almost a yen knocked off the dollar price. Granted this thing has been smoking, and we were due a "rest," but this is pretty hard jerk in the opposite direction. I blame the WSJ headlines this morning about the CDO situation in real estate.

Wed Jun 27, 09:29:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

AAPL may be an intermediate term short. It probably won't matter how great the iphone is, it will likely selloff because of 'buying the rumor and sellin the news'. It did have a magnificient runup.

I looked at alot of smartphones throughout the years but they were never good enough for me to buy them. But the iphone i wanted one even before i see it. Tells ya something.

Wed Jun 27, 09:48:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Checkout STP today... finally joining the solar crowd!

I hate to Gosu you, but I knew something was up with that bizarre shakeout two days back:

JakeGint said...
This farking STP is the most damnable stock. Remember that downtrend line that I talked about a couple of days back? The one it had finally burst through when it first re-cracked $34 (again, a couple of days back)?

Well, when it did it's "plunge of death" yesterday, it actually smacked RIGHT OFF that downtrend line again (this time, because of it's continuing downslope it was at about 32.85 or so. And the downtrend line held support, just like all the books say it's supposed to! Even with that almost parabolic death drop!

Which tells me somebody is farking around with this stock, trying to shake people loose before the big ... something. Just look at the 15 minute chart over the last couple of days... it's a farking roller coaster!

Anyway, I continue to hang on, and it looks like if it can clear $34.60 here, we may be in for some intersting schite.

But don't be shocked if they take us down another Alpine slide again....

Wed Jun 27, 09:54:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

I'll keep my Crackberry, thanks.

_______________

Quick note on SMSI @ 14.92 or so...it's filled that gap from a few days back, and it looks like it has decent support here all the way to 14.70 or so, so this may not be a bad entry point if you see it start to take off again.

Wed Jun 27, 10:09:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

JakeGint said...

Checkout STP today... finally joining the solar crowd!

I hate to Gosu you,


HEHEHE. Come to daddy. Good call.
Any comments on SOLF?

Wed Jun 27, 10:13:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

beanie11111 said...
Don't get scared. Wednesday is buy-the-dip day!


I would suggest that you wait till EOD June 29 to make your buys. I think that would be ideal.

Wed Jun 27, 10:14:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Gose, RE: SOLF...

I like to give those recent IPO's a little more chart time before wading in, but she looks like she's trying to fill her gap at about $11.36 as well... will likely rest from there, so I'm not sure there's a ton of near term upside.

I like ASTI-Spumante, Martini & Rossi better for the go-go mo-mo play (w. HOKU both ways, of course).

It looks like it will pull back to about 9.30 ish here, and that's the entry.

Wed Jun 27, 10:20:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Wow, ASTI did just that, and shot above it's old 100% retrace line at 9.60... where I think is the next place to buy it on the pull back.

Wed Jun 27, 10:47:00 AM EDT  
Blogger TraderB said...

Give NGA a look see guys. The split is behind it and it is reacting well off the 50 with volume. Good trading.

Wed Jun 27, 11:00:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Hey B, re; NGA... my family used to be IN that business...

Where can I short it? (ggg)

Wed Jun 27, 11:06:00 AM EDT  
Blogger TraderB said...

Sorry, I don't know what (ggg) means.

The fundemantals on NGA are good. Let me know what price you get for your short. I'm in at 8.50. Good trading.

Wed Jun 27, 11:18:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

z-stock said...

SPY has good support at $148
Mon Jun 25, 03:27:00 PM EDT

Genius!!

Wed Jun 27, 11:24:00 AM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

(gggg) = grins all around.

IOW, "kidding."

IOW = "in other words"

I'm not really shorting it... it looks good to me.

I'll STFU now.

Wed Jun 27, 11:33:00 AM EDT  
Blogger jet said...

Z-stock, this is off-topic, not about stocks, you like the Foundation series? No wonder you are so good at those calculations. Foundation series is about math geniuses.

Wed Jun 27, 11:34:00 AM EDT  
Blogger TraderB said...

LOL, gotcha Jake. Thanks for the explanation. I respect your postings here so I was a little concerned.

Wed Jun 27, 11:40:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

NYX:

this stock is seeing a nice bottom today. Then again, how many bottoms have we looked at?

You gotta make a stand somewhere and it might as well be here in the low 70.

Wed Jun 27, 12:43:00 PM EDT  
Blogger aymon said...

is aapl still a good short?

Wed Jun 27, 01:05:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Arun said...

I wouldnt short apple into next week.

Wed Jun 27, 01:46:00 PM EDT  
Blogger joerawr said...

i took at stand in NYX... -15% ago... i did small buys at 100, 92, 89, 85, 82.50, 80, 79...

got my cost basis down to 85.. so i'm still hurtin, but hanging in there...

Wed Jun 27, 02:04:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Dan Fox said...

Q for everyone,

If you make money on NYX is that better money than from any other stock?

Then why do people keep trying NYX? Sometimes you just gotta pick up and move on, even though it can be painful at times.

Wed Jun 27, 02:24:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

JSDA and DNDN is up today...

Wed Jun 27, 02:52:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

I saw SPY at 148...= 100/0..for a brief second, and didn’t write down the reasons...dumb...
NYX bottomed TODAY! Does it go up 5 days in a row or dicker around and then go up 5 days in a row?

Zee
Watching...NUE,OMG,ATI,PCU,POT,RTI,TIE,KALU,GDX.....AXP
FRI CPE report looks good at 0.1%...banks housing real estate should benefit....However if there is a surprise at 0.2%...then everything crashes...

Wed Jun 27, 02:54:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

FCX:

calls bought up the gazoo today! somrthing's up.

Wed Jun 27, 03:06:00 PM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Anyone else do the VTO trade this morning?

It's schweet.

__________________

DNDN back from the near dead... anyone know whatup?

Wed Jun 27, 03:09:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

VTO Trade:
Yes. Backed up on SSO yesterday.
SWEEET!!

Wed Jun 27, 03:19:00 PM EDT  
Blogger joerawr said...

dndn some crazy action in that guy on no news?! what's up?!

Love that NYX action! I was wiping my tears just two hours ago. But is this just a one day pop, or has the tide turned?

Wed Jun 27, 03:20:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

NYX:

Now THAT is a REAL bottom!!!

Wed Jun 27, 03:20:00 PM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Stickbucks just closed that little gap from the other day at 26.10....

Now if it can hold, I will relinquish my short... but if it cannot....

Wed Jun 27, 03:27:00 PM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

gosu said...
VTO Trade:
Yes. Backed up on SSO yesterday.
SWEEET!!



Now hold on a sec....

What happened to not buying until the 29th?

Wed Jun 27, 03:28:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

I knew that would come. I had the program order executed for SSO yesterday at TradeStation afterhours.
Didn't even know till this morning.
Program tracks discrepancy between SPY and SSO and buys if the difference is greater than 0.25% of normal.

Wed Jun 27, 03:36:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

JASO:

trading at all time highs right now.

This stock is headed higher.

If you're not in already, wait for a dip.

Wed Jun 27, 03:41:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

SPWR:

as long as it stays above 62.50, this will be a monster runner. Don't ya trust me?

Wed Jun 27, 03:44:00 PM EDT  
Blogger walstinvestor said...

SNDK appears to be poised to bust higher along with semiconductors in general.

Wed Jun 27, 03:56:00 PM EDT  
Blogger steve said...

Silly Jake. Jealousy is such an ugly emotion.

Wed Jun 27, 03:56:00 PM EDT  
Blogger TV107 said...

FSLR neeeds to take a breather

shouldnt there be a 4-5% correction?

i really dont see this breaking 90

back to low 80s IMO

Wed Jun 27, 04:36:00 PM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

Gosu/Ted said...
Silly Jake. Jealousy is such an ugly emotion


I think you're probably talking about envy.

I'm wondering what you'd think I'd be envious of?

Wed Jun 27, 04:47:00 PM EDT  
Blogger CATCHERNTHERYE said...

JakeGint said...
Gosu/Ted said...
Silly Jake. Jealousy is such an ugly emotion

I think you're probably talking about envy.

I'm wondering what you'd think I'd be envious of?

Wed Jun 27, 04:47:00 PM EDT "

Probably of having an imaginary best friend like him. LOL

Got in KMGB today on bounce off 20D MA. Thing killed in earnings past month and volume has just exploded. Mentioned it here few weeks ago but it was correcting back to MA. Up @ 7% today.

Wed Jun 27, 04:58:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Unknown said...

Quoting Gosu:

"I knew that would come. I had the program order executed for SSO yesterday at TradeStation afterhours.
Didn't even know till this morning.
Program tracks discrepancy between SPY and SSO and buys if the difference is greater than 0.25% of normal."

Gosu: if SSO is about $90 and SPY is about $150, (1) how do you calc 'normal' and the difference?

Thanks.

Wed Jun 27, 05:02:00 PM EDT  
Blogger CATCHERNTHERYE said...

Also buying BMY call options sept. 37.50, cheap at .35 today, and Aug. calls32.5 for a buck.

somethings up, option volume and open interest exploded today on calls.

Wed Jun 27, 05:03:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

BB, SSO is supposed to be 2*SPY returns.
The difference is calc. in percentages.
If SPY goes up or down 1%, SSO approx tracks it by 2%. But frequently , there are discrepancies.
Example, like yesterday.
SPY Closed down 1%
SSO went down 4.5% after hours.

If your brokers shows after hour charts look at trades for SSO around 6:35 ET for SSO. Thats when the program kicked in and bot SSO.

Wed Jun 27, 05:19:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Phew! Not again guys!

Wed Jun 27, 08:57:00 PM EDT  
Blogger steve said...

Gosu, that is the cleverest strategy I have read on this blog. Thanks for enlightening us with your brilliance!

Wed Jun 27, 10:06:00 PM EDT  
Blogger steve said...

Sorry Gosu, I'll stop feeding the troll.

Wed Jun 27, 10:29:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

If you have any interest in programming, I would suggest you take a look at TradeStations Easy Language guide.

I have currently about 20 different strategy programs running at TradeStation, looking for discrepancies or just doing trend trades.

Wed Jun 27, 10:49:00 PM EDT  
Blogger steve said...

M, your VMSI ripped me a new one today in AH. I suggest you refrain from cluttering this blog with your stock picks. Gosu's in the driver's seat now!

Wed Jun 27, 11:30:00 PM EDT  
Blogger pamfla said...

Hi Beanie and Board,

Would anyone be so kind to give me feedback about ASTI please> Stock had a great morning then took a dive later. what do you think instore for tommorrow? Hope it shoot up early, I'll sell. Any other suggestions Beanie?
Thank,
Pamfla

Thu Jun 28, 12:09:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

pamfla,

ASTI looks like it's headed higher intermediate term. It makes no money but at least it's in the right industry - solar. All solar, whether speculative or not, will rise. A big solar wave is comin. Remember the internets of the 1990's? I rather you be in FSLR, SPWR, STP, JASO and TSL - real companies making real money. But ASTI is fine too as a speculative play.

Thu Jun 28, 02:21:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

When you have time, watch this trend trade video by Nexgens software.
This is a 25 minute video and is the most profitable automated strategy used by me. I dont use the Nexgens software but write my own programs in TradeStation.

Thu Jun 28, 07:44:00 AM EDT  
Blogger steve said...

Gosu, let me be the first one here to thank you for providing us such an informative link! I think I'm going to change my investment strategy.

Thanks!

Thu Jun 28, 08:26:00 AM EDT  
Blogger TV107 said...

beanie why do u think a big solar wave is comin

it started at the beginning of the year and it needs to take a break, no?

Thu Jun 28, 10:39:00 AM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

If Crude stays above 60 dollars (its above 70 today), Solars will have a bright future. These companies are just starting and Europe is knee deep into giving these clean energy technologies a boost.
And ofcourse, the insatiable energy demands from China and India have in part to come from Solars

Thu Jun 28, 12:50:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

XHB july 28 call = 3.20 ...close enough...CPE helps...Michigan sent.hurts..
UNG natural gas fund, at 43.2 NG at 6.75....JAN low was 6.32...pit says 6.50 is the support ....I’d be in UNG july 41 call 3.30...except that...downside....UNG goes to 41.5....= rsi 18...= 100/0 if i wait for 41.5...
Gas for August delivery fell 32.9 cents, or 4.6 percent, to $6.754

Thu Jun 28, 01:55:00 PM EDT  
Blogger gosu said...

Fed report in 10 mins. How are you playing?

Thu Jun 28, 02:11:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

i cant find anything low enough to buy..so im thinking if tomorrow is bad, then all my watchlist prices will activate...
XHB.. i changed my mind...I’ll wait for 29.8 = 200ma, like it says on my blog...
UNG heading straight for 41.5...not there yet JULY 40 at 2.90 im in ...starts out delta 40 then gains to delta 60...
zee watch these...
LMT,RTN,BNI,DRIV,TRID,WAG,SKYW....Look interesting

Thu Jun 28, 03:01:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

TSL:

those july 45 calls are on fire!!! More than doubled. Going for 5-10 bagger is a possibility!!!!

Be with solar!!!

Thu Jun 28, 03:22:00 PM EDT  
Blogger TraderB said...

Gotta hand it to you on those Solar calls beanie. FSLR has made me a chunk of change. Appreciate what you're doing and keep up the good work.

Thu Jun 28, 03:37:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

TSL:

Would you believe me if i said this stock is headed to $90 very soon?

Thu Jun 28, 03:41:00 PM EDT  
Blogger aymon said...

Beanie,

Should we buy TSL now or wait for pullback? Which July calls would you buy now or in a few days?

Thanks

Thu Jun 28, 03:52:00 PM EDT  
Blogger TV107 said...

wow .... im glad i stayed on the sidelines on RIMM

i had a bearish tone

but the split sucks

this was a good 3 digit trading stock

Thu Jun 28, 04:16:00 PM EDT  
Blogger jet said...

Woh, rimm splitting 3 for 1 in the 180s now.
Yeap good call on the solars Beanie, I wish I bought more still. I have more TSL and STP than FSLR and SPWR and they haven't been doing as well lately, glad STP broke out yesterday and finally TSL's turn today. What makes you think that TSL is going to 90? Have u guys realized that JASO now has a bigger market cap than TSL now? Before it was only half. I guess it got re-evaluated.

Thu Jun 28, 04:16:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

aymon,

july 45 calls (wish you guys bought at 2.2 though)

july 50 calls ok.

july 55 calls definately very risky.

Thu Jun 28, 04:28:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

aymon,

you might have to buy tomorrow morning. Let's see if we get a dip though.

Thu Jun 28, 04:28:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Arun said...

Just shorted RIMM at 190.65. I think I'll cover in a few minutes.. quick easy $$

Thu Jun 28, 05:00:00 PM EDT  
Blogger jet said...

An interesting article about how the lucky number "8" influences the chinese stock market.

Link here

Thu Jun 28, 05:06:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

NEXT WEEK...
I expect USO to top / slash / double top at 54.2 Mon or Tuesday...and probably USO is going to turn into a really big correction..(see UNG if you don’t beleive me)...cause holiday will be over....
i’m just wondering if this affects the solar stocks...i know USO in free fall eventually brings down XLE....well anyway , USO has to get to the free fall first...if ever...
zee

Thu Jun 28, 05:32:00 PM EDT  
Blogger pamfla said...

Hi Beanie,

ASTI is losing ground in PM however closed higher today than yesterday. Ya think stock is heading lower? I know I know, RIMM tomorrow but got to get out of this first...Thanks for post last nite on ASTI and others
Pamfla

Thu Jun 28, 05:33:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Ok so how did trading goddess get to the top of google search.... "rimm target price"

Trading Goddess: RIMM gets a New Price Target: $210.00! Stock Blog!
RIMM gets a New Price Target: $210.00! UBS Hikes Research In Motion Price Target By $30 s w e e t ! I am holding through earnings. ...

tradinggoddess.blogspot.com/2007/06/rimm-gets-new-price-target-21000.html - 308k -

Thu Jun 28, 05:38:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&lr=&safe=off&q=rimm+target+price&btnG=Search

heres link for search
zee

Thu Jun 28, 05:39:00 PM EDT  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

HEREs the google search link

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&lr=&safe=off&q=rimm+target+price&btnG=Search

Thu Jun 28, 05:42:00 PM EDT  
Blogger JakeGint said...

I loves mah Crackberry!

Arun! How's that short at 190?

Thu Jun 28, 06:19:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Arun said...

I covered at 188.98

Thu Jun 28, 11:58:00 PM EDT  
Blogger vonpinscher said...

here is a stock i find interesting does anyone have an opinion??? bwlrf.ob it is a gamble and possibly a winner

Fri Jun 29, 01:06:00 AM EDT  
Blogger steve said...

gosu said...

beanie11111 said...
Don't get scared. Wednesday is buy-the-dip day!

I would suggest that you wait till EOD June 29 to make your buys. I think that would be ideal.
Wed Jun 27, 10:14:00 AM EDT


Today's the day to buy back in, people! Next week will be a strong week!!

Fri Jun 29, 08:12:00 AM EDT  

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