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The last few years have been great to me, as i was able to clobber the S&P500 many times in returns. But of course, you can't make a living trading the markets if you don't make great great returns. I'll try to give my readers trades that i think will make them money. However, you need to have money management skills, in order not to lose everything on a greedy or stupid trade. I may or may not already be in the trades i recommend. I may or may not trade the stocks i recommend. Due diligence is required on your part and the usual disclaimer that i am not responsible for your losses always apply. I have no affiliations with any broker/dealer and all posts are for educational purposes only. Remember to 'refresh' the home page and the "Comments" pages frequently in order to receive updated posts. Let's rock!

Wednesday, March 07, 2007

MER is oversold!!!

MER currently trades at 82.90

The brokerages have been way oversold.

swing trade

62 Comments:

Blogger gosu said...

Man, this recommendation is soooo tempting, I want to jump on it with all my margin.
Thats because all brokerages, especially Merill Lynch is my favorite stock.
But my gut feeling tells me to wait till March 16, to make sure the worst is over.

Wed Mar 07, 11:05:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

die ICE die!!

Wed Mar 07, 11:11:00 AM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

ICE:

short away!!

110-120 in the bag?

Wed Mar 07, 11:14:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think so. Best case scenario is that ICE as a story is dead and goes back - eventually - to the 30s.

Wed Mar 07, 11:27:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

Ola from Miami, Fla. Would you be so kind as to comment on ALTI please? Ran up some this am, what's the deal with this company?
Hold?

Thanks, Pamfla
3rd World County

Wed Mar 07, 11:45:00 AM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

beanie, what about rimm now? Both rimm and ice are shorts?

Wed Mar 07, 12:17:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Looks like GOOG was a gap to crap. Heading lower.

Wed Mar 07, 12:30:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Seems like the markets will go down tommorow and friday. Employment numbers might be bad.
ADP saw a decline in payrolls.

Wed Mar 07, 12:39:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jobs grow by 57,000 in February, ADP says
Weakest private-sector hiring since July 2003

Wed Mar 07, 12:43:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

pamfla,

ALTI should do extremely well this year. Hold it.

Wed Mar 07, 12:44:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

It's all about GOOG!

Wed Mar 07, 12:46:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

But GOOG is down today!!!

Wed Mar 07, 12:49:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Our government is totally lying to us.

We have serious inflation.

Yesterday i bought a grapefruit the size of my fist and it costed $1.79 .


yikes! lol

Wed Mar 07, 12:52:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

hmmm.

Is ICE on its way to 80?

Wed Mar 07, 12:56:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Bulls and Bears alike should hope and pray that we are not entering a period of stagflation. Yea, the Fed could lower rates but I don't see how that could do anything but make the situation worse in the long run!

Wed Mar 07, 12:56:00 PM EST  
Blogger gosu said...

Let me guess, the grapefruit was not bought from Walmart.
I would be bankrupt if not for Walmart keeping prices down.

Wed Mar 07, 01:12:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

What's your take on BRKR? Chart looks good. Thanks.

Wed Mar 07, 01:14:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

alternative energy stocks are flying.

Be there or you will regret!

Wed Mar 07, 01:30:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

WFR:

on fire! One of my favorite alternative energy plays

54.57

Wed Mar 07, 01:39:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

beanie ,..

two qustions

1) NYX...are you picking them up here?

2) wfr- if oil went down..woulnd't the stock go down? also, what is you target? stokc is up from 15-54 in 2 years or so

Wed Mar 07, 01:45:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

It's all about GOOG. By next friday it could be trading above 500

Wed Mar 07, 01:48:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

The correction may be already over.

Wed Mar 07, 01:49:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

imo, Shorties like Doug Kass, Barry Ritholtz, and the rest of their ilk are very unethical. lol

They go on tv just when the market is about to go thru a correction and they give the WORST case scenerio why the market will be annilalated (after loading up mega number of put options). By instilling extremely fear, they then cash out over 10-baggers, and then go back hibernating. lol

Wed Mar 07, 01:55:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

ok beannie, list for me your fav alt energy plays. i'm listening

Wed Mar 07, 01:59:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,...you're just talking out your ars. First it's "apple's gonna get smacked" then it's Apple is a buy,..GOOG's a buy, then it gap's and craps,..The only one you consistently short is ICE. You are flip-flopping worse that Kerry or Cramer. What about some overall market direction here.

Wed Mar 07, 02:03:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey Beanie..... What's your favorite alternative energy stock?........SKI

Wed Mar 07, 02:06:00 PM EST  
Blogger Unknown said...

I think the market will be down tomorrow. Traders are waiting for these numbers on Friday:

8:30 AM - Average Workweek
8:30 AM - Hourly Earnings
8:30 AM - Nonfarm Payrolls
8:30 AM - Unemployment Rate
8:30 AM - Trade Balance
10:00 AM - Wholesale Inventories

A.

Wed Mar 07, 02:07:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Since alternate energy and oil move in conjunction with each other and "oil prices", why not just buy oil stocks??? If oil goes down your "alternate energy" stocks are going to get hurt. I agree, energy is the way to trade but not unproven, risky alternate energy stocks. (Speaking of ethanol specifically)

Wed Mar 07, 02:08:00 PM EST  
Blogger TraderB said...

I'm not sure anyone can say the correction is or isn't over with any certainty at this point. Technically we are still bearish and the most recent fundementals remain to be seen. I certainly wouldn't be knife catching here!

Wed Mar 07, 02:19:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Alternative Energy stocks i'm accumulated lightly for now:

wfr
spwr
stp
fslr
tsl
hoku
dsti
alti
fcel
spir
desc
eslr
asti
bldp
peix
solf

Wed Mar 07, 02:26:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Today, ICE was removed from somebody's 'conviction buy list'

Wed Mar 07, 02:27:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Alternative Energy (continued):

ener
avr
vse
adm

Wed Mar 07, 02:30:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Cramer says to buy TTWO because shorts are gonna get sliced and diced.

Wed Mar 07, 02:46:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

TTWO:

40% short interest!

Cramer says they're dead meat.

Wed Mar 07, 02:49:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

TTWO: i bought some April calls

Wed Mar 07, 02:50:00 PM EST  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Oil supply report says Crude futures up next three / four days days do not put XLE , might send crude high enough to crash the market …….hang on one second, I’m working out numbers for a qqqq short…..

Wed Mar 07, 02:52:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Cohen and the big boys are going to SQUEEZE the last drop out of this puppy...
TTWO going up, up and away!

Wed Mar 07, 02:55:00 PM EST  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

QQQQ SHORT IS 60/40
IBM is a shooting star HPQ can’t close the gap SNDK SNE LRCX failing at the 20 day NVDA already died INTC AMD DELL too
I think 50/50 RIMM fails headed back to 119

FAVORS the PUTS ‘cause of that pesky Earnings report FRI>

Wed Mar 07, 03:02:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie,

NYX is acting so weird..it was up nicely..closed very nicely...today it gapped dwon..and closing almost LOD..where do you see this stock in a week or two? thanks

Wed Mar 07, 03:35:00 PM EST  
Blogger gosu said...

Anybody can make sense out of whats happening with ICE????

It was not long ago I was kicking myself for sell this stock at 139.

At 129 and falling now, I think that was a pretty good move.

Damn, this market is fun!!!

Wed Mar 07, 03:54:00 PM EST  
Blogger Anon said...

all my longs went soft. anyone else?

Wed Mar 07, 03:55:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Shorted more ICE.

Wed Mar 07, 03:59:00 PM EST  
Blogger gosu said...

Jim buddy, I don't know how many times I have to tell you dear to be a little patient on longs till March 16?

Your money buddy, your wish.

Wed Mar 07, 04:02:00 PM EST  
Blogger Anon said...

i hear you gosu. i am in mostly cash but have some positions that are grossly oversold and cant catch a bid. i gues sthats your point - it wont until options exp.. am i understanding you?

Wed Mar 07, 04:06:00 PM EST  
Blogger gosu said...

Thats right Jim. I think with the sharp correction, the risks of going long are a lot more until we get all people to make up their minds until the options expiration on March 16.

Wed Mar 07, 04:11:00 PM EST  
Blogger TraderB said...

Bad close for the Bulls. DR Horton basically said what everyone knows by now. '07 is going to suck for real estate.

Wed Mar 07, 04:13:00 PM EST  
Blogger gosu said...

The use of the word "sucks" by a CEO is soooo funny.

ROFLMAO!!!!!!!

Wed Mar 07, 04:15:00 PM EST  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Beannie’s to busy counting his money on ICE’S <.>.>.>.> ICE CAPADES.

Wed Mar 07, 04:16:00 PM EST  
Blogger gosu said...

WOW! MAMA up 17% after hours!!!

Wed Mar 07, 04:45:00 PM EST  
Blogger gosu said...

Beanie,
With ICE's fall, do you think that NMX has similar short potential?

Actually from book to value and PE comparison, NMX is almost double overvalued as compared to ICE.

Wed Mar 07, 04:52:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Beanie, monday you wrote:
"holy cow, the close is very ominous!

Every fiber of my being is telling me something very aweful (outside the markets) is about to happen.

Somebody knows something is about to happen and won't tell us"

Now you're saying that you think this correction could already be over?

What's up with that? lol

Wed Mar 07, 04:58:00 PM EST  
Blogger gosu said...

You probably don't need anything to happen outside the markets. You have a lot of things happening inside the markets:
1) DR Horton CEO says "2007 is going to suck. All 12 months".
2) Sub-prime blow up of mortgages.
3) Microsofts Ballmer says "Sales estimates for Vista are overblown".

Wed Mar 07, 05:07:00 PM EST  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

NYX $109 down to $80.6 = 26% Nyx 80.6 new monthly bottom

ICE $167 down to $123.5 = 26% ICE 123.5 possible new monthly bottom.

Z-STOCK

The answers for the FUTURE are always BURIED in the PAST, >.>.>.>.

The above statement IS >.>.>.>SOOOO WHOOOOAAA!!!!WHAT????

Wed Mar 07, 05:21:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Does anyone have any suggestions for MED? I'm down quite a bit now after their forecasted revenue and wonder if I should just dump it! I've thought the bottom was here several times now.....

Wed Mar 07, 05:25:00 PM EST  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

ICE broke through fib (22%) at 130.. next FIB (38%) 103
Ice will definitely not fall to 103……RSI 21 no I don’t think so, BUT other stocks have fallen to RSI 21

Wed Mar 07, 05:32:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

ICE melting fast. $100?

Wed Mar 07, 07:52:00 PM EST  
Blogger gosu said...

Beanie, what do you think about Nymex (NMX)? It is twice as expensive as ICE and the chart looks broken.

Wed Mar 07, 08:18:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

gosu,

The charts are saying, regarding NMX, it is near the bottom. Way too late to short NMX here.

Too much support down at 115. Hey, maybe eventually the support will break but it would have to come with some fundamentals bad news.

Wed Mar 07, 08:22:00 PM EST  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I think the markets are headed higher tomorrow.

But i'd would be happy to see a big gap down on ICE to cover

Wed Mar 07, 08:45:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Asian markets up overnight.

Nikkei, Hang Seng and Shanghai are up.

Dollar up vs the Yen.

I think you're probably right Beanie, about the US market being up tomorrow.

Wed Mar 07, 11:03:00 PM EST  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Re: Asian markets up overnight.

http://money.cnn.com/data/premarket/

Wed Mar 07, 11:09:00 PM EST  
Blogger zstock7.com said...

Dow futures up 54,
But stock list futures are mixed to down, Germany. Looks like start day high end day negative.

Thu Mar 08, 04:42:00 AM EST  

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