.comment-link {margin-left:.6em;}
My Photo
Name:
Location: USA

The last few years have been great to me, as i was able to clobber the S&P500 many times in returns. But of course, you can't make a living trading the markets if you don't make great great returns. I'll try to give my readers trades that i think will make them money. However, you need to have money management skills, in order not to lose everything on a greedy or stupid trade. I may or may not already be in the trades i recommend. I may or may not trade the stocks i recommend. Due diligence is required on your part and the usual disclaimer that i am not responsible for your losses always apply. I have no affiliations with any broker/dealer and all posts are for educational purposes only. Remember to 'refresh' the home page and the "Comments" pages frequently in order to receive updated posts. Let's rock!

Thursday, October 05, 2006

Ragweed DVAX @ 6.23

Their vaccine against ragweed allergies were successful in preliminary studies. There are 30 million Americans who suffer from ragweed allergies. The 2 week multishot vaccine (once approved by the FDA) could cost consumers over $100 (in my opinion). Multiply that by 30 million Americans you get about $3 billion in potential revenues.

The ceo indicated on CNBC that they are trying to "franchise" their technologies to other types of allergies. They are looking into peanut allergies right now. Do you know that there are over 100 allergies known to man?

DVAX's preliminary study on ragweed vaccine was on 25 people, but they have a larger ongoing study of over 700 people. Preliminary results will likely come out in Jan. 2007.

Since DVAX is not profitable, it is a very risky play. But the recent financing and positive study result should help the stock eventually break above $8.

DVAX is an intermediate to longer term play.

23 Comments:

Blogger beanie11111 said...

I like the way DVAX is trading.

If it stays above $6, i'd be happy.

Thu Oct 05, 02:16:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I am pretty confident DVAX will see $8 or higher. There are no vaccines for any allergy as far as i'm concerned.

Thu Oct 05, 02:39:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

So DVAX could become one of the best biotech plays around.

Thu Oct 05, 02:39:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I hope you all got some at the low 6.

Thu Oct 05, 02:42:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

if you think ATI is not bottomed..then TIE won't bottom either..uuslaly ATI moves twice what TIE moves..so let's see..

Thu Oct 05, 03:11:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

also, it is so weird OI up 3 bucks..even XOM is up 70cents but VLO is still flat..i dont' get it. y

Thu Oct 05, 03:12:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

like you have found some stock on your own..the whole world sees it is up 40 percent today....your too funny

Thu Oct 05, 03:35:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

anonymous,

I don't usually call a stock unless it's running. I just let you folks know what the potential is for profit.

Thu Oct 05, 03:38:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

DVAX: Should in play for quite some time. I think it's on its way to $10 at least. Definately one of the most exciting biotechs i've seen in some time.

Thu Oct 05, 03:40:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

anonymous,

ATI is in exactly the same situation as TIE. Both are steel companies. Both have almost the same chart. Both have near term bottomed (soft call) but both are sitting near resistance right now.

Thu Oct 05, 03:41:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

DVAX:
Volume is so huge i gotta expect more upside tomorrow.

Thu Oct 05, 03:43:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee DVAX!

Let me count the money from the low $6!

Thu Oct 05, 03:49:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

if ATI takes out 66 where do you expect it go?

Thu Oct 05, 03:49:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

anonymous,

I would say $70 short term, but again, ATI is in a very weak sector. Anymore bad reports or downgrade on the sector, it may just trade sideways to down.

Thu Oct 05, 03:55:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

anonymous,

I know you like commodities but as traders we usually want to trade stocks that are strong or is in a strong sector(s).

If you are an investor, you still probably don't want to invest in ATI at this point (maybe 3 years ago but not now). The runup for commodities had been so huge for several years now. The other reason is you cannot "see" what ATI does, especially when ATI is not the only steel company.

I hope you are buying stocks from other sectors as well.

Thu Oct 05, 03:59:00 PM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

RVBD is now up to 19.55, I have 516 shares bought at 17.24- would it be
too soon to sell or hold till it double in value? Maybe in a year?

Thu Oct 05, 11:07:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

sgv,

depends on what your timeframe. If you're watching it everyday, it is likely youre not a long term holder.

RVBD has gone up almost 5 points in a short period since i first mentioned it.

I would probably take another 1/2 off here if i were a short term trader or even a swingtrader.

Fri Oct 06, 01:23:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Even though i said DVAX is for an intermediate or longer term play, it can be treated as a daytrade if you're happy with the profits.. This applies to every single stock i recommend.

Fri Oct 06, 01:29:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

DVAX: Will probably sell off this morning due to weak market this morning. Buy the dip for a daytrade.

Fri Oct 06, 08:10:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

DVAX: To get an idea how this stock will likely play out today, take a look at ANGN yesterday.

Fri Oct 06, 08:10:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Let DVAX drop for about the first 30 minutes or so after market opens.

Fri Oct 06, 08:14:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I get the feeling, though, that DVAX is alot stronger than ANGN. So it may not play out the same way.

Fri Oct 06, 08:15:00 AM EDT  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

beanie you are a fucking idiot. you are a loser. find another hobby. you are an investing/trading failure.

Mon Oct 09, 12:57:00 AM EDT  

Post a Comment

<< Home