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The last few years have been great to me, as i was able to clobber the S&P500 many times in returns. But of course, you can't make a living trading the markets if you don't make great great returns. I'll try to give my readers trades that i think will make them money. However, you need to have money management skills, in order not to lose everything on a greedy or stupid trade. I may or may not already be in the trades i recommend. I may or may not trade the stocks i recommend. Due diligence is required on your part and the usual disclaimer that i am not responsible for your losses always apply. I have no affiliations with any broker/dealer and all posts are for educational purposes only. Remember to 'refresh' the home page and the "Comments" pages frequently in order to receive updated posts. Let's rock!

Tuesday, April 05, 2005

PAM: I am very excited about this stock.

PAM today broke out of the multi-month cup and handle formation that started in June of last year. It broke out decisively out of the handle with very high volume and closed above $1.09 .

I believe PAM will rally from here, just like it did in August of 2003 (which reached a high of $3.35) . The next stop is $2.50; if we break that, we gonna retest $3.35. I believe we will break that high and run close to $5.00 eventually (which will give the company about 140 million market cap), because fundamentals of the company is better now than it has ever been. I don't know when we will get to $5, but we are bound to get there.

OT: VEXP at first glance appears to be a bunch of crazy traders bidding on cow dung, but the volume was huge. I went to check out their latest filing and it appears that Putnam now owns over 70% of the company stock. Also per their filing, VEXP relatively recently did a 1 to 50 reverse split. From where i am sittin', the company is still losing lots of money. But maybe somebody knows something we clearly don't. We'll see. There are 120k shares in the float, i think.

33 Comments:

Blogger Alan Ji said...

Beanie, did you trade VEXP today? How was it? Do you plan to trade it tomorrow? How should I trade it tomorrow?

-Alan

Tue Apr 05, 10:31:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

By the way, SILCF is a hold and wait. Earnings for last quarter should come out this month. If they announce profitability, the stock should take off.

Tue Apr 05, 10:41:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

ALan,

I did not trade VEXP today, due to lack of decent fundamentals or some type of delicious story (like GRU). I have seen this stock ran before and thought it must have moved due to the extremely low float. It went up to $10 and corrected back to $4 the first time (in March). This rally today has very strong volume however.

I may or may not trade it tomorrow. It depends. Watch for a gap down going toward $10-11. If that holds and reverses upward, then buy in. Or you can just wait out the first 30 minutes. If after 45 minutes it breaks the high traded the first 30 minutes, then you can assume traders are interested. First stop is 14, then 18, then 20, then 24, then 30. Use these numbers as resistances. I give you these numbers with the assumption that traders are still interested in the stock. I may not trade it at all. We'll see.

Tue Apr 05, 10:59:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

PAM is so freakin awesome! Look at the range on this baby!!! A trader's dream!!!!!

Wed Apr 06, 11:50:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I don't care if the inpatient keeps selling! I be there to scoop it up and sell it back to them later.

Wed Apr 06, 11:51:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Go spread the word! lol

Sooner or later the masses gonna come, might as well be sooner!

Wed Apr 06, 11:53:00 AM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Hey, almost forgot to tell ya.

Be careful of companies like VEXP that are losing alot of money. Management can just come out and announce a bankruptcy and you never know what hit you! So be careful. Trade it if you will but do not hold it overnite.

Wed Apr 06, 12:11:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I still have all my shares of PAM, although i traded it a little bit this morning.

The 2 day uptrend line is still intact. I think we are almost ready for a big move either direction.

Wed Apr 06, 12:13:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Who are the batgirlies who sold PAM at $1.03 (at support level!) ?

Wed Apr 06, 12:14:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Jilpangs said...

"The 2 day uptrend line is still intact. I think we are almost ready for a big move either direction."

either direction ??

dont scare me beanie.

Wed Apr 06, 01:00:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

PAM is A-ok.

VEXP: If it breaks $15.29, it would be a good daytrading buy.

Wed Apr 06, 01:14:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

VEXP: Low $14 is a supportive buy.

Wed Apr 06, 01:15:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Elliott said...

what do you think about thld

Wed Apr 06, 01:49:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Bought PAM once again at the low $1.

Hey if they don't got patience, help em out! lol

What a range PAM is! Wow!

Wed Apr 06, 01:55:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Oh, just to let you know, i haven't sold out on you guys! lol

Wed Apr 06, 01:56:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

In the multiyear scheme of things, PAM is trading bullishly.

i like this stock alot. Range is amazing. 25% range today!

Wed Apr 06, 02:03:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

THLD looks like junk to me.

Wed Apr 06, 02:04:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Wow, VEXP trying to form an intraday cup-and-handle. If it breaks hod, it's gonna fly. Just watch it. Don't buy yet until break of 15.29.

Wed Apr 06, 02:06:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Traders need to make a living too.

You see that relatively big block sitting at 1.10 on the ask? It's meant to get the sellers into selling. Chartwise, 1.10 is resistance right now. If we get a dumpage later, those guys gonna come back tomorrow and scoop it up again.

Wed Apr 06, 02:32:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

I am almost done for today.

Still holding 100% of my shares of PAM (although i traded it today).

Have a great day!

Wed Apr 06, 02:37:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

trader,

don't you realize that we have very good volume the last 3 days? 3 days ago, it traded on average of 20k shares!

Yesterday it moved from .8 to 1.37. That is huge! Today we are giving some back, which is very normal.

Volume is very nice. But yes, if we want over 1 million shares to trade daily, management gotta help us out a little..lol... Also, when the PAM goes higher, the volume will take care of itself.

Not worried.

Wed Apr 06, 02:42:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

PAM formed a head and shoulders yesterday! A correction today is of no surprise to me.

Wed Apr 06, 02:46:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Elliott said...

what do you think about pax

Wed Apr 06, 02:47:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

The 50 day MA on PAM is now around .85, which represents great support. I have no doubt or reservation whatever that PAM is headed to the first target of $2.

Down days are when you want to buy.

Wed Apr 06, 02:54:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

PAX:

Someone is trying to gather a deal to acquire the company for $2.2 billion. If successful, the company's $1 billion debt gets repaid, leaving 1.2 billion. Another $500 million goes back to GE/NBC, leaving $700 million for 80 million shares outstanding. That would make PAX an $8 stock.

That was just a quick calculation that may have left out alot of things.

Everything is contigent upon the deal being successful.

Wed Apr 06, 03:18:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

horton,

You mean you've been holding USEG all this time without selling on rally days? You could have done that and bought back on dying days.

If they don't come out with some press release, i believe USEG could see $5. But 5.50 has decent support - very decent support. USEG is still on an uptrend since last November. With where oil is headed, USEG is relatively a safe stock. 50-day MA is currently $4.32 . Longer term, it's going higher, unless management disapoints.

Wed Apr 06, 07:44:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Just in case anyone is wondering, i am not in PAX or VEXP.

VEXP will be used as a daytrading stock with a nice range. But in the end i believe it's going lower.

Wed Apr 06, 07:48:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Looks like we could get a morning selling pressure at PAM. I hope they take it down to .85 . Would love to buy more there.

Wed Apr 06, 07:49:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

PAM: 20day Moving Average is .92 .

Wed Apr 06, 07:57:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

coolguy,

I still have all of my shares intact, although i traded the stock for a decent profit today. It rocks!

I am not selling a single share! Unless they come out with some nasty PR! lol

No, i never shorted PAM.

Patience, my friend. If in doubt, please go read the company's filings.

Wed Apr 06, 08:27:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

Understand that this is not for a quick momo daytrade like most of my other calls (although it is just as nice for a quick scalp). Quick momo's go both ways - you quick you win and you slow you lose. We will get many more momo's along the way.

If i get profits from those momo trades, i will add the dips (and sell them higher to the newly excited buyers!)

Wed Apr 06, 08:31:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

The beauty of watching one stock for awhile is that you get the feel on how it behaves, and then you kick everybody's arse who dares to trade the stock!

In the institutional world, they usually assign one guy to one stock and he trades only that stock for a long time!

We don't need to always fly everywhere looking for a new stock everyday.

Wed Apr 06, 08:35:00 PM EDT  
Blogger beanie11111 said...

The 4 day uptrend line is still intact, and the close of $1 today fell right smack on that line! We may actually end up going higher at the start of the bell.

Wed Apr 06, 08:43:00 PM EDT  

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